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FxWirePro: NZD/JPY trades rangebound, bias lower, good to short break below 75.60

  • NZD/JPY consolidating break below 200-DMA in a major bear trend.
     
  • 5-DMA currently at 76.10 weighs on the upside. The pair is extending grind lower along 5-DMA. 
     
  • We see strong support at 75.60, only break below will see resumption of downtrend.
     
  • Bears then target 78.6% Fib retracement of 69.23 to 83.80 rally at 72.61.
     
  • Momentum studies are bearish, technical indicators are biased lower.
     
  • Upbeat China data dump saw some upside in the pair. China's GDP growth, industrial growth, fixed asset investment and retail sales, all surpassed consensus estimates.
     
  • However, yen strength keeps upside capped. Safe haven demand for yen intact on escalating North Korea tensions.

Support levels - 75.60 (trendline), 74.80 (61.8% Fib), 73.69 (Nov 9th low), 72.61 (78.6% Fib)

Resistance levels - 76.10 (5-DMA), 76.52 (50% Fib), 77, 77.34 (20-DMA)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral       
4H          Bearish               Neutral       
1D          Bearish               Oversold        
1W         Bearish               Neutral      

Recommendation: Good to go short on decisive break below 75.60, SL: 76.60, TP: 75/ 74.80/ 74/ 73.70

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at 47.544 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 62.4887 (Bullish) at 0640 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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