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FxWirePro: NZD/USD breaks below 5-DMA at 0.6867, intraday bias neutral

  • NZD/USD down 0.22% on the day, extends downside for 2nd consecutive session.
     
  • Selling pressure seen around the NZD gathered steam in Asia, Dismal Chinese industrial profits data and NZ Q3 retail sales report weigh.
     
  • Modest recovery in USD after last week’s slump also adding to the weight on the spot.
     
  • Technical studies are bearish, upside remains capped at 20-DMA at 0.6884.
     
  • Heading into a new week, the focus remains on the Fedspeaks, RBNZ Financial Stability Report and US GDP numbers for further direction.
     
  • Close below 5-DMA could see test of 61.8% Fib at 0.68 ahead of 0.6760 (trendline).
     
  • On the flipside, breakout above 20-DMA could see further upside, test of 50-DMA at 0.7023 then likely.

Support levels - 0.6809 (61.8% Fib retrace of 0.6347 to 0.7558 rally), 0.6780 (Nov 17 low), 0.6760 (trendline)

Resistance levels - 0.6867 (5-DMA), 0.6884 (20-DMA), 0.6952 (50% Fib), 0.6980 (Nov 9 high)

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -144.55 (Bearish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -81.3178 (Bearish) at 0500 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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