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• NZD/USD held firm on Thursday as easing Middle East concerns from last week have revived appetite for risk, providing support for the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar.
• A ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which appears to be holding, has calmed markets by easing fears of disruptions to global oil trade and supporting overall investor sentiment.
• With no key New Zealand economic releases or Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) speeches scheduled, broader risk appetite remains the primary driver for the NZD/ USD near-term direction.
• Markets see little chance of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting its 3.25% benchmark rate in July, but expectations for an August rate cut have climbed to over 60%.
• Technical show resilience: 5-, 10-, and 21-day moving averages are holding firm, RSI is pointing north.
• Immediate resistance is located at 0.6079(23.6%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 0.6095(Higher BB).
• Support is seen at 0.6021(SMA 20)and break below could take the pair towards 0.5979 (38.2%fib).
Recommendation: Good to buy around 0.6030 with stop loss of 0.5920 and target price of 0.6120
