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FxWirePro: NZD/USD neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption

 

• The NZD/USD traded in tight range on Thursday as trading activity remained thin due to holiday-thinned trade.

•Last Thursday's report, showed New Zealand’s GDP fell 1.0% in the September quarter compared to the previous quarter, much above market expectations of a 0.2% decline

• The unexpectedly dismal GDP report has caused investors to price in a 50 basis point rate cut by the RBNZ in February.

• Markets anticipate a 50 basis point rate drop from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at its next meeting on February 19.

• Immediate resistance is located at 0.5671(Dec 20th high), any close above will push the pair towards 0.5743(38.2%fib).

•  Support is seen at 0.5609(23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 0.5578(Lower BB).

 Recommendation: Good to sell around 0.5660, with stop loss of 0.5730 and target price of 0.5570

  • Market Data
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