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FxWirePro: NZD/USD struggles at 5-DMA, break above needed for further upside

  • Technically, the dollar could be a little stretched and in overbought territory.
     
  • On the other side, the NZ economy is strong and dairy prices have risen, which could mean short-term support for NZD.
     
  • NZD/USD remains capped below 5-DMA currently at 0.6891, break above could see some upside.
     
  • Trend is definitely lower, break below trendline support at 0.6855 could see drag till 0.68 levels.
     
  • Support levels - 0.6862 (Dec 23 low), 0.6855 (trendline support), 0.68 (June 3 low), 0.6770 (Apr 8 low)
     
  • Resistance levels - 0.6891 (5-DMA), 0.6916 (50% Fib of 0.63470 to 0.74854 rally), 0.6947 (Dec 12 high), 0.70, 0.7042 (20-DMA)
     

Recommendation: We prefer to wait for confirmation on technicals. 

FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at 24.6972 (Neutral) at 0500 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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