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FxWirePro: Sentiment suggests USD/JPY forming base

Yen rally might be coming to an end, Risk sentiment returned to the market thanks to some optimistic comments from U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese officials which helped to diffuse some of the tensions stemming f…

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Yen rally might be coming to an end,

  • Risk sentiment returned to the market thanks to some optimistic comments from U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese officials which helped to diffuse some of the tensions stemming from Sino-American trade dispute.
  • USD/JPY has declined steadily after failing to breach to 112.2 resistance area, and thanks to an escalation in the Sino-American trade dispute, where President Trump hiked tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods from 10 percent to 25 percent, and China responded with a hike in tariffs on $60 billion, declined sharply to as low as 109 area.

However, it has been struggling to break lower as risk sentiment returned.

The retail sentiment suggests that USD/JPY could be in the process of forming a bottom. According to data from IG markets, 66 percent of the retail positions are long on USD/JPY, which gives the pair a bearish bias. However, the percent of long positions have declined from 75 percent, and that is a sign of bottom formation.

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