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FxWirePro: US oil recovers from lows after gap down open, awaits Saudi Arabia's decision on production increase

US oil retreated from Friday highs at 74.43 and is currently trading at 73.24 levels. The pair opened this week's trade with a bearish gap, hit session lows at 72.61. Oil prices dropped on Trump's declaration of agreemen…

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FxWirePro: US oil recovers from lows after gap down open, awaits Saudi Arabia's decision on production increase
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  • US oil retreated from Friday highs at 74.43 and is currently trading at 73.24 levels.
     
  • The pair opened this week's trade with a bearish gap, hit session lows at 72.61.
     
  • Oil prices dropped on Trump's declaration of agreement from Saudi Arabia that production needs to increase.
     
  • Trump's declaration was premature, markets still await clarification on whether or not Saudi Arabia could decide to abandon OPEC limits.
     
  • Meanwhile, oil has retraced from lows and is currently trading above 73 handle.
     
  • Technical indicators on daily charts support upside. Price has broken out of daily cloud.
     
  • However, caution advised as Stochs have entered overbought zone and RSI has shown retrace from near overbought levels.
     
  • We see major resistance at 73.85 (strong trendline). Any further upside only on break above. 
     
  • Immediate support lies at 5-DMA at 72.71. Decisive break below could  see some weakness.

Support levels - 72.71 (5-DMA), 71.78 (1H 110-EMA)
Resistance levels - 73.85 (trendline), 74
 

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