USDBRL showing more upside potential even though it has been losing upswings momentum as the rejection of resistance at 4.0180 levels.
But intraday swings show whipsaws on moving average and resistance at 3.9550 mark.
Even though the bears began pushing downwards we saw sharp bounces again, thereby dragonfly dojis are formed quite often, in between a hanging man patterns are also formed on rallies to show indecision in previous downswings ( see grey shaded rectangular area).
Leading oscillators are also moving in linear direction to signify indecision but slightly narrowed curve indicates reduced momentum in previous intraday selling pressures.
We now keep an eye on decisive breach resistance at 3.9575 levels, options straddle is the best suitable in such range bounded circumstances in short term.
So, go simultaneously long in 1W at the money call and put with 50% delta. Long options straddle that fetched unlimited returns during higher implied volatility scenarios, and limited risk to the extent of initial premiums paid options, well, this option trading strategies that are used when the options trader ponders that the USDBRL will experience significant volatility in the near term but expects the swings in either ways.
Alternatively, since we project the USDBRL outlook to reach 4.0 by year-end and 4.5 in 2016, the recommendation is to go long in 2M ATM delta +0.51 call, and simultaneously short 2W (1%) OTM call for net debit.
The lower strike short calls to reduce the cost, this would help in purchasing of the greater number of long calls and the position is entered reduced cost.


EUR/USD Relief Rally Crashes Into 200/365 EMA Wall: Sell-on-Rise Near 1.1600 Targets 1.1435
FxWirePro: EUR/ NZD consolidating around 1.9855, room for further gains
FxWirePro: AUD/USD eases as middle east peace progress ebbs
AUDJPY Rejected at 113: Triple EMA Bearish Stack and Surging ADX Point to 110.50
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
USD/CHF Retreats to Key Trend-Line Wall; Buy-Above-0.8000 Strategy Targets Sharp Rally to 0.8150
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD maintains bullish bias with focus on 1.9100
Sterling Surge: GBP/JPY Smashes Above 214 With Triple EMA Blessing; Bulls Eye 217
NZD/JPY Bear Trap: Triple EMA Ceiling Blocks Relief Rally, Sellers Eye 90.50
FxWirePro: USD/CNY holds flat amid concerns over Middle East risks and upcoming U.S. CPI
FxWirePro:USD/JPY holds firm near 160 as intervention fears stay muted
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro: AUD/USD firms slightly, but downward resumption looks likely
FxWirePro USD/JPY consolidates above 160.00 level despite fresh currency intervention threats
NZDJPY Bulls Capped: Triple Bearish EMA Stack Signals Downtrend Path Toward 90




