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FxWirePro: USD/CAD retains bearish outlook with scope to target 1.2450

The USD/CAD pair continued to dip on Tuesday as robust domestic retail sales data for June bolstered expectations the Bank of Canada could raise interest rates in October. Retail sales, which hit a record C$48.99 billion…

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  • The USD/CAD pair continued to dip on Tuesday as robust domestic retail sales data for June bolstered expectations the Bank of Canada could raise interest rates in October.
     
  • Retail sales, which hit a record C$48.99 billion ($38.88 billion), were up in six of the 11 sectors and grew by 1.1 percent when weak auto sales and lower gasoline prices were excluded.
     
  • The currency touched C$1.2526 to the U.S. dollar, or 79.83 U.S. cents, after the data was released, its strongest level since August 1.
     
  • The ongoing weakness is set to continue for this pair as the resistance level at 1.2594 is likely to act as strong barrier to the bulls and bring a further decline towards lower levels.
     
  • The immediate support can be seen at 1.2520, break below this level will expose the pair to next support level at 1.2481.
     
  • Major resistance can be seen at 1.2585, break above this level will expose the pair towards 1.2600 levels.

    Resistance Levels

    R1: 1.2554 (50% Retracement level)

    R2: 1.2585 (61.8% Retracement level)

    R3: 1.2600 (Psychological levels)

    Support Levels

    S1: 1.2520 (38.2% Retracement level)    

    S2: 1.2481 (23.6% Retracement level)

    S3: 1.2445 (Aug 1st lows)

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