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FxWirePro: USD/JPY extends range-play around 110 handle, focus on US CPI, FOMC

  • USD/JPY hovers around 110 handle, extends range trade ahead of US CPI and FOMC meeting.
     
  • Markets refrain to place any directional bets ahead of plenty of risk events.
     
  • Increased demand for the Yen amid negative oil prices and treasury yields, points towards risk-averse market conditions.
     
  • High probability of Greenback sustaining the corrective up move post the FOMC meeting.
     
  • 200-DMA at 110.43 is stiff resistance and we see further upside only on break above.
     
  • Technical indicators are not conclusive, RSI flatlined below 50 level and MACD still bias lower.
     
  • Market have largely priced in a rate hike from the Fed, the statement will be key for driving market sentiment.

Support levels - 110.08 (5-DMA), 110, 109.25 (trendline), 109.11 (June 7th low)

Resistance levels - 110.43 (200-DMA), 110.61 (23.6% Fib of 118.662 to 108.130 fall), 110.75 (20-DMA)

Recommendation: We prefer to wait for clear directional bias.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly USD Spot Index was at -26.8384 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at -65.7798 (Neutral) at 0515 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

 

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