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FxWirePro: USD/JPY largely range-bound, sees strong support at 110.75

USD/JPY has bounced off from multi-month lows at 110.66 on 17th March, but is seen strugling to extend gains. The major is extending range trade, and we see further weakness on breach of 110.75 support. CFTC speculative …

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FxWirePro: USD/JPY largely range-bound, sees strong support at 110.75
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  • USD/JPY has bounced off from multi-month lows at 110.66 on 17th March, but is seen strugling to extend gains.
     
  • The major is extending range trade, and we see further weakness on breach of 110.75 support.
     
  • CFTC speculative positioning for the week ending 15 March 2016 showed that long USD positions reduced sharply.
     
  • Leveraged funds increased their net JPY longs for a fifth consecutive week by a further USD1bn to USD4.6bn, a new high in this cycle.
     
  • Major calendar events this week which could influence the pair include US Durable goods (Thursday), Q4 GDP (third estimate) (Friday), Japan CPI Y/Y (Thursday).
     
  • Tehnical indicators are inconclusive, momentum studies are neutral, weakness only on breaks below 110.75.

Resistance Levels:

R1: 111.75 (Mar 18th highs)

R2: 112 (5-DMA)

R3: 112.26 (Feb 24th highs)

Support Levels:

S1: 111.04 (Feb 24th lows)

S2: 110.97 (Feb 11th lows)

S3: 110.75 (Trendline)

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