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FxWirePro: USD/JPY recovery not convincing, holds above 20-DMA support, but bias still lower

USD/JPY managed to erase losses from lows of 101.20, but upside seems to be loosing traction. Likelihood of another BoJ disappointment at the Sept 21 meet is rising, putting upside risk to the near-term path for JPY. Tec…

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FxWirePro: USD/JPY recovery not convincing, holds above 20-DMA support, but bias still lower
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  • USD/JPY managed to erase losses from lows of 101.20, but upside seems to be loosing traction.
     
  • Likelihood of another BoJ disappointment at the Sept 21 meet is rising, putting upside risk to the near-term path for JPY.
     
  • Technicals still paint a bearish picture, indicators point south.
     
  • The major is managing to hold above 20-DMA support currently at 101.52, but momentum signals have turned, and the RSI is now below 50.
     
  • USDJPY is attempting a clear break below the 20-DMA, which then see scope for test of 98.90 (trendline).
     
  • Major support levels - 101.52 (20-DMA), 101, 100.75 (Aug 3 low), 101.41 (23.6% Fib), 99.54 (Aug 16 low)
     
  • Major resistance levels - 102, 102.12 (Sept 7 high), 102.58 (38.2% Fib), 102.62 (50-DMA)
    ​

Recommendation: Good to short decisive break below 20-DMA, target: 101/ 100.75/ 99.55/ 99
 

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