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FxWirePro: USD/JPY reverses from highs at 115.19, holds above 5-DMA support

USD/JPY has been rejected at session highs by 115.19, has edged lower to currently trade at 114.85. The pair is trading in an extremely narrow range as markets remain cautious ahead of FOMC meeting Wednesday. After upbea…

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FxWirePro: USD/JPY reverses from highs at 115.19, holds above 5-DMA support
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  • USD/JPY has been rejected at session highs by 115.19, has edged lower to currently trade at 114.85.
     
  • The pair is trading in an extremely narrow range as markets remain cautious ahead of FOMC meeting Wednesday.
     
  • After upbeat U.S. NFP data markets fully priced in for a Fed hike on 15 March, but the main question now is over the pace of tightening thereafter. 
     
  • U.S. debt ceiling that expires on March 16 is another major concern, which could favour Yen demand.
     
  • If the Democrats are unable to reach a quick agreement to extend the ceiling, the Trump 'fiscal-policy-trade' could come into jeopardy.

Support levels - 114.54 (5-DMA, 1H 100-SMA & cloud base), 113.96 (50-DMA), 113.55 (Mar 6 low)

Resistance levels - 115, 115.50 (Mar 10 high), 115.96 (61.8% Fib retrace of 118.66 to 111.59 fall)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral       
4H          Neutral                Neutral       
1D          Bullish                Neutral        
1W         Bullish                Neutral      

Call update: We had advised a short on break below 114.50 (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-USD-JPY-trades-narrow-range-weakness-on-break-below-daily-cloud-585973).

Recommendation: We remain bearish on decisive break below 114.50.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly USD Spot Index was at 2.68539 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 6.21567 (Neutral) at 1300 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 
 

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