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FxWirePro: USD/ZAR neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption

• USD/ZAR traded in tight range on Wednesday as South African rand firmed ahead of the central bank's interest rate decision.

• The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) is scheduled to announce its latest monetary policy decision on Thursday at approximately 13:00 GMT.

•Markets will be closely watching the outcome, as investors and analysts assess how the central bank plans to navigate ongoing economic challenges, including inflation pressures, currency volatility, and sluggish growth.

• The majority of economists  expect the bank to trim its main lending rate   by 25 basis points.

•   South Africa's inflation currently sits below the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) target range of 3% to 6%, offering some room for monetary policy flexibility. However, policymakers have continued to highlight key external and internal risks that could undermine price stability.

• Immediate resistance is located at 18.040 (38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 18.324(50%fib).

• Strong support is seen at 17.679 (23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 17.550(Lower BB).

Recommendation: Good to sell  around 17.950 with stop loss of 18.100 and target price of 17.000

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