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FxWirePro-USDINR Daily Outlook

The Indian rupee showed a minor pullback on board-based US dollar selling.  It hit a high of  84.14 and is currently trading at 83.86.

 

The policy divergence between the US Fed and RBI put higher pressure on the US dollar.

 

US dollar index-

 

US dollar index was one of the worst performers in the past one and half months and lost more than 4% on easing US inflation.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 67.5% from 47% a week ago.

 

Markets eye FOMC meeting minutes and Fed Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hole Symposium.

 

Major Indian Economic data -

 

India CPI (Jul) - 3.54%  (lowest level in 59 years)

 

Food inflation- 5.42% Y/Y (the lowest level since Jul 2023)

 

India’s Industrial Production - 5.2% ( Apr to June) and 4.2% (June 2024)

 

Technicals-

 

Major resistance- 84.25

 

Near-term resistance - 84

 

Minor support-  83.60, 83.25

Trend reversal level- 83

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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