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Gold Prices Edge Higher on Weak Dollar but Face Weekly Loss Amid Oil-Driven Inflation Fears

Gold Prices Edge Higher on Weak Dollar but Face Weekly Loss Amid Oil-Driven Inflation Fears. Source: Photo by Michael Steinberg via Pexels

Gold prices saw a modest increase on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and renewed geopolitical developments involving the United States and Iran. Despite this slight rebound, the precious metal remains on track for a weekly decline as rising oil prices fuel concerns about inflation and prolonged high interest rates.

Spot gold rose by 0.3% to close at $4,710.57 per ounce, while gold futures settled slightly higher at $4,725.40 per ounce. The uptick in gold prices was largely driven by a softer dollar, which typically enhances the appeal of dollar-denominated commodities like gold for international investors. As the greenback weakened, market participants shifted toward riskier assets such as equities, reducing demand for the dollar’s safe-haven status.

Investor sentiment improved after signals emerged that the U.S. and Iran are preparing for a second round of diplomatic talks. Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed plans to visit key regional partners, including Pakistan, Oman, and Russia, to discuss bilateral and regional developments. Meanwhile, the White House announced that U.S. officials, including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, will travel to Pakistan for further negotiations. These developments boosted optimism in financial markets, contributing to the dollar’s decline and supporting gold prices.

However, gold’s overall performance this week has been weighed down by a sharp increase in oil prices. Benchmark crude contracts recorded their strongest weekly gains since early March, driven by escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing disputes between the U.S. and Iran. Higher oil prices have intensified fears of an inflationary surge, prompting expectations that central banks may maintain or even raise interest rates.

Since gold does not yield interest, it often underperforms in high-rate environments. Analysts warn that persistent geopolitical uncertainty and rising inflation pressures could continue to limit gold’s upside in the near term, keeping investors cautious despite short-term gains.

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