Hurricane Vance had maximum sustained winds of 95 knots early Saturday, while the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast winds to reach 60 knots by Thursday after a temporary rise Monday.
At 5 a.m. ET Saturday, Oct. 24 (0900 UTC), the storm’s center was near 12.4 degrees north latitude and 102.8 degrees west longitude. It was moving north-northwest at 6 knots, with an estimated minimum central pressure of 965 millibars.
The forecast holds Vance at 95 knots through 2 p.m. ET Saturday, then has winds at 90 knots by 2 a.m. Sunday and 85 knots by 2 p.m. Sunday. It lists 85 knots early Monday, rising to 90 knots Monday afternoon, before falling to 85 knots early Tuesday, 70 knots early Wednesday and 60 knots by 2 a.m. ET Thursday.
For 2 a.m. ET Thursday, the advisory places the storm near 18.5 degrees north and 104.5 degrees west. The NHC’s outlook notes average track errors of about 100 nautical miles on day four and 125 nautical miles on day five, with intensity errors averaging about 15 knots per day.
The forecast follows an earlier EconoTimes report on Vance’s 110 mph winds and strengthening outlook. The NHC scheduled its next advisory for 11 a.m. ET Saturday (1500 UTC) and requested ship reports every three hours from within 300 miles of the storm’s center.
