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Latest Commitment of Traders positions (Equities and Bonds) as at March 29th, 2016

CFTC commitment of traders report was released on Friday (1st April) and cover positions up to Tuesday (29th March). COT report is not a complete presenter of entire market positions, however it represents a good chunk of institutional traders, to feel what’s going on in capital markets and how big traders are aligned.

Kindly note in some cases numbers are rounded to nearest decimal.

  • 2 year U.S. Treasury 

Net short position increased by 1,821 contracts to -113.7K contracts. This implies that speculators are expecting bond price to go down and yields to go up, which is in line with hike expectations from FED.

  • 5 year U.S. Treasury 

Speculators reduced short position by 51, 428 contracts to -163.2K contracts. Faster rate hike bets are probably getting shortened.

  • 10 year U.S. Treasury 

Speculators increased net short position by 66,968 contracts and net position flipped from long to short to -16.9K contracts. Change is vital as 10 year yield this year dropped more than 40 basis points and this could be sign that tide may be turning.

  • S&P 500 (E-mini) 

Net short position got reduced by 24,332 contracts to -122.1K contracts, indicating speculators are betting S&P 500 will falter.

  • Russell 2000 

Similar S&P 500 like bets visible in Russell 2000. Speculators increased net short position 2,902 contracts to -63.6K contracts.

  • MSCI Emerging Markets Mini Index 

Speculators are long over emerging markets. Long positions were increased by 3,442 contracts and short position reduced by 10,760 contracts leading to +67.71K contracts.

  • Market Data
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