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Market expectations divided over the upcoming MAS policy meeting

MAS is likely to ease monetary policy at the upcoming policy meeting on 14th April 2015 by re-centering the band's mid-point to below the prevailing level of S$NEER.

Many market participants believe the MAS will instead widen the SGD NEER band or keep the policy unchanged; with a small minority expecting a further reduction in the slope. 

If the downward re-centering is 1% or more below the current mid, SGD will weaken by around 0.6% from prevailing levels. Inflation differential to USD suggest that SGD bonds have cheapened enough to warrant being overweight.

"Our base case is that MAS will re-center the band lower to the prevailing SGD NEER. 

We also note that long-end Singapore bond yields are cheap and attractive relative to other AAA counterparts and USD bonds." - said BofA Merrill Lynch in a report

 

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