Oil prices traded in a narrow range on Monday as investors closely monitored upcoming Iran-U.S. nuclear talks and weighed the potential impact on global crude supply. Concerns that escalating tensions between Washington and Tehran could disrupt oil flows helped support prices, while expectations that OPEC+ may resume output increases from April capped gains.
Brent crude futures slipped 3 cents to $67.72 per barrel by 0156 GMT after finishing 23 cents higher in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 3 cents to $62.86 per barrel. There was no WTI settlement on Monday due to a U.S. holiday. Last week, both oil benchmarks recorded declines, with Brent crude down roughly 0.5% and WTI losing about 1%, as renewed optimism over a potential diplomatic breakthrough pressured prices.
Market sentiment shifted after U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Washington could reach a deal with Iran within the next month. The two countries recently resumed negotiations aimed at resolving their long-standing dispute over Iran’s nuclear program and avoiding further military escalation. A second round of talks is scheduled to take place in Geneva on Tuesday.
An Iranian diplomat indicated that Tehran is pursuing a nuclear agreement that could unlock economic benefits, including energy and mining investments and potential aircraft purchases. However, analysts remain cautious. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore noted that expectations for a swift agreement are low, warning that the current stability in crude oil prices may represent a temporary pause in volatility.
Meanwhile, geopolitical risks remain elevated. The United States has deployed a second aircraft carrier to the region, preparing for potential military action if negotiations fail. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have warned of retaliation against U.S. military bases in the event of an attack.
At the same time, OPEC+ is reportedly leaning toward resuming oil output hikes from April after a three-month pause to meet anticipated peak summer demand. Analysts suggest that without the geopolitical risk premium tied to Iran-U.S. tensions, WTI crude could be trading below $60 per barrel. Global trading activity is expected to remain subdued due to public holidays in China, South Korea, and Taiwan.


US Stock Futures Hold Steady as Soft Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears
Oil Prices Surge as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates and Strait of Hormuz Risks Grow
Oil Prices Rise as U.S. Strikes on Iran Raise Strait of Hormuz Supply Fears
Australia Consumer Sentiment Rises in July as Fuel Price Relief Lifts Confidence
Asian Stocks Rally as Cooling U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Dollar Eases as Middle East Conflict, Fed Outlook and Japan Pension Policy Drive FX Markets
US Inflation Expected to Ease in June, but Fed Rate Hike Risks Persist Amid Middle East Tensions
South Korea Raises Interest Rates to 2.75% as Inflation and Weak Won Drive Tightening
Asian Currencies Stay Rangebound as Middle East Tensions, Weak China GDP Weigh on Sentiment
Gold Price Holds Near $4,000 as Middle East Tensions and Fed Rate Hike Bets Grow
Goldman Sees Foreign Investors Driving India Stock Market Recovery
South Korea’s KOSPI Enters Bear Market Despite Remaining 2026’s Best-Performing Major Stock Index
Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions
ECB's Kocher Says No Inflation Spillover Yet From Iran Conflict, Warns Risks Remain
Japanese Yen Holds Steady as Intervention Hopes Grow Ahead of U.S. CPI Data
UBS Boosts China Tech Bets, Adds Kuaishou and Meituan to Focus List 



