The GBP/JPY currency pair sharply declined due to the weakness of the Pound sterling, reaching a low at 194.19 and currently trading around 194.90. Traders are now observing a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) set at 200.20, indicating a possible price reversal around that level.
Factors Weighing on the Pound
The Pound Sterling dropped drastically against the US Dollar last week due to several significant factors. Notably, weak UK economic data revealed a December Manufacturing PMI of 47.0, indicating struggles in the manufacturing sector and raising concerns about the overall UK economy.
Interest Rate Outlook and the Strengthening Dollar
Analysts are also expecting aggressive interest rate cuts by the Bank of England in 2025, with Goldman Sachs forecasting a reduction from 4.75% to 3.75% by the end of the year. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is strengthening, driven by expectations of economic growth and inflation, especially with President-elect Donald Trump's incoming policies.
Technical Analysis of GBP/JPY
The GBP/JPY pair is trading below both short-term and long-term moving averages on the 4-hour chart, suggesting an overall downward trend. Immediate resistance is at 195.35; a breach above this level could lead to targets of 196, 198, 199, or even up to 200.20. Downside support is at 194, with additional levels at 193, 192.20, and 190.
Market Indicators
The technical indicators are showing a bearish CCI (50) and a neutral Directional Movement Index. It is recommended to buy on dips around the 195.78-80 range, with a stop-loss set at 196.50 and a target price of 198.
