Triggers for further EUR downside

Life has not been easy for Euro bears. Shorting the Euro was a "widow-maker" in the years before May 2014. It was one of the best FX trades from May 2014 to March 2015. And it has been going nowhere since then, with EUR/USD stuck in a narrow range. More recently, the Euro has remained relatively resilient, despite a substantial deterioration of the situation in Greece, notes BofA Merrill Lynch.

It is believed, although Grexit risks are negative for the Euro, data and divergence of monetary policies are more important drivers.

It is also expected EUR/USD will reach parity by the end of the year, expecting the first Fed rate hike in September and low Eurozone inflation to keep the ECB's QE commitment strong. Greek risks, negative Bund net supply and light positioning also pose short-term EUR risks, says BofA Merrill Lynch.