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UK Labor Market Beats Expectations: Unemployment Holds Steady at 4.9% as Employment Growth Surges

Staying at 4.9% for the three months to May, the UK's ILO Unemployment Rate came in better than the 5.0% expected by the market. The number of jobless claims also increased by barely 6.7K in June, far lower than anticipa…

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Staying at 4.9% for the three months to May, the UK's ILO Unemployment Rate came in better than the 5.0% expected by the market. The number of jobless claims also increased by barely 6.7K in June, far lower than anticipated 28.3K. These numbers indicate that despite constant economic strains, the labor market is holding up better than projected.

The employment increase also surprised favorably, as May saw a 147K rise in the number of working people—far more than the 100K growth observed in April. The better-than-expected hiring momentum suggests that demand for labor across the UK economy is robust.

On the wages front, Average Earnings excluding bonuses increased 3.4% year-over-year, which is in line with predictions. Earnings including bonuses went up 4.3%, somewhat under the 4.5% projection. The numbers generally point to a consistent but declining wage inflation trend together with better employment conditions.

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