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US Oil Short term Outlook

  • Major support - $48.65 (trend line joining $62.56 and $51.91)
     
  • Major short term resistance - $50.75 (support turned into resistance).
     
  •  US oil declined most in a year on Wed after US crude inventories climbed for the ninth consecutive week to a record high. It has rose by 8.2 million barrels last week to a record 528.4 million barrels.
     
  • US oil has broken major support of $50 and declined below $49  for the first time since Nov 2016.
  • On the lower side, any weekly close below $50 confirms further weakness, a decline till $47.25 (50% retracement of $39.23 and $55.21)/$45 likely.
     
  • Short term resistance is around $50.75 and any break above will take the commodity till $51.91/$52.68 (61.8% retracement of $55.21 and $48.58).
     
  • Overall bearish invalidation only above $55.

     It is good to sell on rallies around $50-$50.10 with SL around $51.90 for the TP of $47.25/$45
  • Market Data
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