US Presidential Election Series: Trump’s path to magic number

Leading in polls and winning the most popular vote is one thing and winning the White House via Electoral Colleges is another. Let’s see a live example, Democratic Presidential nominee, Al Gore, won majority votes of 48.4 percent. Yet, Republican nominee George W. Bush became the President with 47.9 percent popular vote. Donald Trump is gaining momentum but his path to victory remains very difficult.

To secure the White House a candidate needs 270 electorates.

Let’s see, how he can make it to the magic number.

• States of Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, North Dakota, Tennessee, Wyoming, Alaska, Kentucky, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and West Virginia would surely vote for Trump and from here he could gain 63 electorates.
• States of Utah, Mississippi, Montana, Louisiana, South Dakota, and Kansas are very like to vote for Trump and from here he could gain 32 electorates.
• States like Missouri, Indiana, South Carolina, Nebraska district 2, and Texas are likely to vote for Trump and from here he could gain about 69 electorates.

The above would bring him to 164 and he would need to secure 106 electorates from the battlegrounds state.

Polls suggest he might win Ohio, Florida, Iowa, Arizona, and Georgia. That would give him 80 electorates and bring the total number to 244, still 26 short of the figure. He has a chance of winning in Nevada and North Carolina and that would give him 21 electorates but still 5 short.

To win the White House, he would have to win either Colorado or Wisconsin.It is needless to say the Mr. Trump is walking a tightrope here.