World Cup 2026: The Round of 32 Odds

Key Highlights

Favorite to win the cup: France — 22.9%

Total wagered on the World Cup: ~$3.3B+

Golden Boot favorite: Lionel Messi — 52%

Locks (75%+ chance to advance)

Argentina — 96%

France — 88%

England — 87%

Spain — 84%

Germany — 83%

USA — 82%

Colombia — 75%

Favored (50%–75% chance to advance)

Canada — 73%

Brazil — 71%

Portugal — 69%

Norway — 66%

Switzerland — 65%

Belgium — 63%

Netherlands — 62%

Mexico — 60%

Egypt — 58%

Underdogs (25%–50% chance to advance)

Australia — 42%

Ecuador — 40%

Morocco — 38%

Senegal — 37%

Algeria — 35%

Ivory Coast — 34%

Croatia — 31%

Japan — 29%

South Africa — 27%

Longshots (25% or less chance to advance)

Ghana — 25%

Bosnia — 18%

Paraguay — 17%

Austria — 16%

DR Congo — 13%

Sweden — 12%

Cape Verde — 4%

Source: PredictionTalk — Independent hub for prediction-market traders.