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Key Highlights
Favorite to win the cup: France — 22.9%
Total wagered on the World Cup: ~$3.3B+
Golden Boot favorite: Lionel Messi — 52%
Locks (75%+ chance to advance)
Argentina — 96%
France — 88%
England — 87%
Spain — 84%
Germany — 83%
USA — 82%
Colombia — 75%
Favored (50%–75% chance to advance)
Canada — 73%
Brazil — 71%
Portugal — 69%
Norway — 66%
Switzerland — 65%
Belgium — 63%
Netherlands — 62%
Mexico — 60%
Egypt — 58%
Underdogs (25%–50% chance to advance)
Australia — 42%
Ecuador — 40%
Morocco — 38%
Senegal — 37%
Algeria — 35%
Ivory Coast — 34%
Croatia — 31%
Japan — 29%
South Africa — 27%
Longshots (25% or less chance to advance)
Ghana — 25%
Bosnia — 18%
Paraguay — 17%
Austria — 16%
DR Congo — 13%
Sweden — 12%
Cape Verde — 4%
Source: PredictionTalk — Independent hub for prediction-market traders.
