U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut 
Asian Markets Mixed as RBI Cuts Rates and BOJ Signals Possible Hike 
Kazakhstan Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 18% as Inflation Pressures Persist 
European Oil & Gas Stocks Face 2026 With Cautious Outlook Amid Valuation Pressure 
Asian Markets Mixed as Fed Rate Cut Bets Grow and Japan’s Nikkei Leads Gains 
BOJ Signals Possible December Rate Hike as Yen Weakness Raises Inflation Risks 
RBNZ Cuts Interest Rates Again as Inflation Cools and Recovery Remains Fragile 
Spain’s Industrial Output Records Steady Growth in October Amid Revised September Figures 
RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens 
Europe Confronts Rising Competitive Pressure as China Accelerates Export-Led Growth 
U.S. Futures Steady as Rate-Cut Bets Rise on Soft Labor Data 
U.S. economy may be continuing its growth and remains still a bit far away from recession, but sections of the economy remain well into contraction. Many of the indicators like real gross domestic Private investments are pointing towards looming recessionary possibilities. Another such is Total Business Sales, released from U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Since January 2015, the year on year growth rate in Total Business Sales has remained in the negative, which means it is in the negative for 18 months, which would be six quarters. Last time the business sales growth was negative dates back to the great recession of 2008/09 when the contraction lasted for 13 months but the contraction was much steeper than the current. Before that, the growth was negative in 2001, which was followed by recession and the contraction in business sales lasted for 12-13 months.
Some of the Fed officials like Jerome Powell is worried on secular stagnation. Maybe he is right in doing so.
