The more the ECB waits, the more it will need to give

Oct 21, 2015 03:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The more the ECB waits, the more it will have to do to convince the market it can deliver on its price stability objective. QE2 is increasingly consensual among commentators, and market expectations for a decisive further...

No one is happier with the Fed in limbo than home builders

Oct 21, 2015 02:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

No one is happier with the Fed in limbo - and 10Y Treasury yields back at 2.05% - than home builders. The NAHB index of builder sentiment is now up to 64, its highest since October 2005, three months after the peak of the...

Bank of Canada expected to remain on hold

Oct 20, 2015 23:32 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Neither markets nor analysts look for the BoC to cut rates today (OIS has just -3bps priced in). The Banks last statement was very balanced and any shift in tone this time around is likely to be modest. One major takeaway-...

ECB preview: No change this week but euro area QE is here for the long haul

Oct 20, 2015 22:37 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week ECB is expected to continue sending a dovish message of standing ready to act if needed but, given the insufficient evidence of a sharp slowdown, no policy action is expected. While recent German data wobbles add...

Fed may hike bank rates in 2016 and 2017

Oct 20, 2015 11:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Investors have markedly shifted their assessment of the likelihood of the Fed hiking rates this year and the extent of tightening in the next two years, as concerns about Chinas growth prospects erupted in early...

MAS reduces SGD NEER policy band slope slightly

Oct 20, 2015 08:03 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) reduced the slope of its SGD NEER policy band slightly on 14 October - to 1% from our previous assumption of 1.5%. All other policy parameters (width of the policy band, level of...

October ECB bank lending survey, credit standards to ease

Oct 20, 2015 07:27 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Euro area banks reported low investment decisions in H1 15, in Q2, the fixed investment contribution on firms demand for credit represented 11pp, whereas the contribution from inventories stands at 10 and the contribution...