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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close

May 23, 2023 15:21 pm UTC| Economy Politics

The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either...

Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election

Oct 21, 2022 06:17 am UTC| Politics

The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in...

Morrison slumps in Newspoll but Coalition gains, as lockdown shows vaccination is essential

Jun 08, 2021 00:16 am UTC| Politics

This weeks Newspoll had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis. This is a one point gain for the Coalition since the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 41% Coalition (steady),...

Joe Biden wins US presidential election as mail-in votes turn key states around

Nov 08, 2020 10:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Pennsylvania and Nevada were today called for Joe Biden, taking him to 279 Electoral Votes, nine more than the 270 required to win. Biden is now the US president-elect, defeating an incumbent president for the first time...

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

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Economy

Europe Roundup: Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months, European shares gains, Gold gains, Oil prices rise after U.S. debt deal, all eyes on OPEC meeting

Market Roundup French Apr Industrial Production (MoM) 0.8%, 0.3% forecast, -1.1% previous Spanish Unemployment Change -49.3K , -40.1K forecast,-73.9K previous German Car Registration (YoY) 42.50%,...

CNN Appoints Warner Bros. Discovery Executive as Its New COO

CNN Worldwide, or Cable News Network International, announced it has appointed a new chief operating officer for its business operations worldwide. The company named David C. Leavy as its new COO. As per Deadline, the...

Burger King Levels up Chicken Offerings: New Chicken Fries in Singapore and Smoky Maple Biscuit in US

Burger King bolsters its chicken offerings, debuting Chicken Fries in Singapore and trialing Smoky Maple Chicken Biscuits in U.S. markets. These exciting additions reflect the brands strategy to capitalize on the growing...

Onitsuka Tiger Unleashes Shinkansen-Inspired Sneakers in Collaboration With Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway

Onitsuka Tiger teams up with Hyogo travel brand Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway to launch a trio of Shinkansen bullet train-styled sneakers crafted with Kobe beef leather and traditional Hyogo craftsmanship. Showcasing...

Intel Unveils Plans for DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, Eyes Global Expansion

Intel Corporation is making strides in global chip research, announcing plans for a DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, South Korea. Intel is establishing a chips data lab in the region to scale up its...

Politics

UK: UN Rights Chief Expresses Concerns Over Migration Bill

The United Nations human rights chief has expressed his concerns to the British government about its legislation to combat illegal migration. The human rights chief cited concerns that it would bar people from seeking...

Russia-Ukraine War: NATO to Narrow Divisions Over Ukraine's Membership Bid in Oslo Meeting

The foreign ministers of the NATO countries are looking to narrow down the divisions surrounding Ukraines bid to join the alliance in the upcoming meeting in Oslo this week. This comes as Ukraines allies are also at odds...

EU Parliament to Question Hungary's Ability to Hold EU Presidency Over Record on Rule of Law

The European Parliament is set to question Hungarys ability to hold the European Unions rotating presidency next year. The EU parliament cited Hungarys record on the rule of law. A draft parliamentary resolution by the...

Iran: IAEA Resolves Nuclear Issues Related to Sites With Uranium Particles

The International Atomic Energy Agency has reportedly resolved the nuclear issues with Iran related to a site where uranium particles were found. The issue comes as talks to restore the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran remain...

UK: Ministers Given More Time to Turn in Messages From Boris Johnson to Public COVID Inquiry

British ministers were given more time to turn in messages from former Prime Minister Boris Johnson as part of the public inquiry into the governments response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The extra time comes amid a...

Science

Drilling down on treatment-resistant fungi with molecular machines

`Fungi are present on the skin of around 70% of the population, without causing harm or benefit. Some fungal infections, like athletes foot, are minor. Others, like Candida albicans, can be deadly especially for...

Astronomers detected two major targets with a single telescope – a mysterious signal and its source galaxy

Astronomers have been working to better understand the galactic environments of fast radio bursts (FRBs) intense, momentary bursts of energy occurring in mere milliseconds and with unknown cosmic origins. Now, a study...

Biodegradable plastic in clothing doesn't break down nearly as quickly as hoped – new research

Plastic pollution has emerged as one of the most pressing environmental challenges of our time. Over 100 million tonnes of plastic enters the environment each year, with more than 10 million tonnes ending up in our oceans....

Gravitational wave detector LIGO is back online after 3 years of upgrades – how the world's most sensitive yardstick reveals secrets of the universe

After a three-year hiatus, scientists in the U.S. have just turned on detectors capable of measuring gravitational waves - tiny ripples in space itself that travel through the universe. Unlike light waves, gravitational...

Why don't rocks burn?

While many rocks dont burn, some of them do. It depends on what the rocks are made of and thats related to how they were formed. There are three main rock types: igneous, sedimentary and metamorphic. These rocks are...

Technology

Korea’s Netmarble Set to Release Three New Game Titles to Stop Losses

Netmarble Corporation, a South Korean mobile game developer which is also considered the largest mobile-gaming firm in the country, is set to release three new games, and the drops are starting in July. According to The...

Samsung Partners With Dezeen for Global 'Re:Create Design Challenge' to Upcycle Old Devices

Samsung Electronics, in collaboration with UK design magazine Dezeen, announces the Re:Create Design Challenge, a global contest aimed at upcycling and recycling old Samsung devices. The initiative reflects Samsungs...

TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Spearhead ByteDance's Rising Social Media Star, Lemon8

ByteDance taps TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to steer Lemon8, its fresh social media app, amid a corporate reshuffle and escalating tension between TikTok and the West. Launched in February, the lifestyle-oriented Lemon8 has...

Naver Reportedly Losing Market Share in Online Search Industry

Naver internet platform is reportedly losing its share in the search engine market in South Korea. It was the very first web portal that later became the largest internet company in the country, but with the arrival of...

Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard Acquisition Approved by Korean Regulators

Microsoft Corporation earned another point with its bid to acquire the Santa Monica, California-based video game holding company, Activision Blizzard, after the South Korean anti-trust regulator announced it has approved...