I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.
Newspoll remains tied at 50–50, but Albanese’s net approval slumps
Sep 03, 2024 00:25 am UTC| Politics
A national Newspoll, conducted August 2630 from a sample of 1,263, had a 5050 two-party tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll three weeks ago. This is the first time this term there have...
With nominations decided, Trump leads Biden in US polls
Mar 19, 2024 11:28 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Joe Biden and Donald Trump have both secured their parties nominations for the November 5 United States general election by winning a majority of all delegates to their parties conventions, including delegates not yet...
Albanese and Labor slump to worst position in Newspoll since 2022 election
Nov 07, 2023 09:08 am UTC| Politics
A national Newspoll, conducted October 30 to November 3 from a sample of 1,220 people, gave Labor a 5248% lead over the Coalition, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the final Newspoll before the October 14 Voice...
Special votes mean National and ACT will likely lose their majority
Oct 31, 2023 09:01 am UTC| Politics
This Friday at 2pm (12pm AEDT), New Zealanders will find out the final results of the October 14 election. This tally will include the estimated 567,000 special votes not reported in the preliminary results on election...
NZ Election 2023: final polls suggest NZ First likely kingmaker as the left makes late gains
Oct 12, 2023 07:31 am UTC| Politics
After political polls between March and August showed a clear trend towards the right, polls since late August have shown the reverse. Remove a resurgent NZ First from the mix, and the left and right blocs are now polling...
The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close
May 23, 2023 15:21 pm UTC| Economy Politics
The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either...
Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election
Oct 21, 2022 06:17 am UTC| Politics
The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in...