I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.
The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close
May 23, 2023 15:21 pm UTC| Economy Politics
The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either...
Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election
Oct 21, 2022 06:17 am UTC| Politics
The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in...
Morrison slumps in Newspoll but Coalition gains, as lockdown shows vaccination is essential
Jun 08, 2021 00:16 am UTC| Politics
This weeks Newspoll had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis. This is a one point gain for the Coalition since the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 41% Coalition (steady),...
Joe Biden wins US presidential election as mail-in votes turn key states around
Nov 08, 2020 10:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Pennsylvania and Nevada were today called for Joe Biden, taking him to 279 Electoral Votes, nine more than the 270 required to win. Biden is now the US president-elect, defeating an incumbent president for the first time...
Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll
Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics
Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...
Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll
Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...
With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally
Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...
Europe Roundup: Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months, European shares gains, Gold gains, Oil prices rise after U.S. debt deal, all eyes on OPEC meeting
CNN Appoints Warner Bros. Discovery Executive as Its New COO
Burger King Levels up Chicken Offerings: New Chicken Fries in Singapore and Smoky Maple Biscuit in US
Onitsuka Tiger Unleashes Shinkansen-Inspired Sneakers in Collaboration With Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway
Intel Unveils Plans for DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, Eyes Global Expansion
Russia-Ukraine War: NATO to Narrow Divisions Over Ukraine's Membership Bid in Oslo Meeting
EU Parliament to Question Hungary's Ability to Hold EU Presidency Over Record on Rule of Law
Iran: IAEA Resolves Nuclear Issues Related to Sites With Uranium Particles
UK: Ministers Given More Time to Turn in Messages From Boris Johnson to Public COVID Inquiry
Drilling down on treatment-resistant fungi with molecular machines
Astronomers detected two major targets with a single telescope – a mysterious signal and its source galaxy
Biodegradable plastic in clothing doesn't break down nearly as quickly as hoped – new research
Gravitational wave detector LIGO is back online after 3 years of upgrades – how the world's most sensitive yardstick reveals secrets of the universe
Korea’s Netmarble Set to Release Three New Game Titles to Stop Losses
Samsung Partners With Dezeen for Global 'Re:Create Design Challenge' to Upcycle Old Devices
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Spearhead ByteDance's Rising Social Media Star, Lemon8
Naver Reportedly Losing Market Share in Online Search Industry
Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard Acquisition Approved by Korean Regulators
The Supreme Court just shriveled federal protection for wetlands, leaving many of these valuable ecosystems at risk
Fujitsu, Microsoft Unite: Massive Investment to Enhance Uvance Business, Boosting Sustainability With Cloud Technology
Puma's Ambitious Sustainability Progress: 70% Products Made From 'Better Materials' in 2022, Aims for 90% by 2025
European soccer is having another reckoning over racism – is it time to accept the problem goes beyond bad fans?