I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.
Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy
Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...
Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?
Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...
Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows
Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...
US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?
Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...
Final 2019 election results: education divide explains the Coalition's upset victory
Jun 19, 2019 02:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
At the May 18 election, the size of the lower house was expanded from 150 to 151 seats. The Coalition parties won 77 seats (up one since the 2016 election), Labor 68 (down one) and the crossbench six (up one). The...
2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident
Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...
Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria
Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...
Europe Roundup: Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months, European shares gains, Gold gains, Oil prices rise after U.S. debt deal, all eyes on OPEC meeting
CNN Appoints Warner Bros. Discovery Executive as Its New COO
Burger King Levels up Chicken Offerings: New Chicken Fries in Singapore and Smoky Maple Biscuit in US
Onitsuka Tiger Unleashes Shinkansen-Inspired Sneakers in Collaboration With Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway
Intel Unveils Plans for DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, Eyes Global Expansion
Russia-Ukraine War: NATO to Narrow Divisions Over Ukraine's Membership Bid in Oslo Meeting
EU Parliament to Question Hungary's Ability to Hold EU Presidency Over Record on Rule of Law
Iran: IAEA Resolves Nuclear Issues Related to Sites With Uranium Particles
UK: Ministers Given More Time to Turn in Messages From Boris Johnson to Public COVID Inquiry
Drilling down on treatment-resistant fungi with molecular machines
Astronomers detected two major targets with a single telescope – a mysterious signal and its source galaxy
Biodegradable plastic in clothing doesn't break down nearly as quickly as hoped – new research
Gravitational wave detector LIGO is back online after 3 years of upgrades – how the world's most sensitive yardstick reveals secrets of the universe
Korea’s Netmarble Set to Release Three New Game Titles to Stop Losses
Samsung Partners With Dezeen for Global 'Re:Create Design Challenge' to Upcycle Old Devices
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Spearhead ByteDance's Rising Social Media Star, Lemon8
Naver Reportedly Losing Market Share in Online Search Industry
Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard Acquisition Approved by Korean Regulators
The Supreme Court just shriveled federal protection for wetlands, leaving many of these valuable ecosystems at risk
Fujitsu, Microsoft Unite: Massive Investment to Enhance Uvance Business, Boosting Sustainability With Cloud Technology
Puma's Ambitious Sustainability Progress: 70% Products Made From 'Better Materials' in 2022, Aims for 90% by 2025
European soccer is having another reckoning over racism – is it time to accept the problem goes beyond bad fans?