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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.



Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

Final 2019 election results: education divide explains the Coalition's upset victory

Jun 19, 2019 02:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the May 18 election, the size of the lower house was expanded from 150 to 151 seats. The Coalition parties won 77 seats (up one since the 2016 election), Labor 68 (down one) and the crossbench six (up one). The...

2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident

Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

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Economy

Europe Roundup: Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months, European shares gains, Gold gains, Oil prices rise after U.S. debt deal, all eyes on OPEC meeting

Market Roundup French Apr Industrial Production (MoM) 0.8%, 0.3% forecast, -1.1% previous Spanish Unemployment Change -49.3K , -40.1K forecast,-73.9K previous German Car Registration (YoY) 42.50%,...

CNN Appoints Warner Bros. Discovery Executive as Its New COO

CNN Worldwide, or Cable News Network International, announced it has appointed a new chief operating officer for its business operations worldwide. The company named David C. Leavy as its new COO. As per Deadline, the...

Burger King Levels up Chicken Offerings: New Chicken Fries in Singapore and Smoky Maple Biscuit in US

Burger King bolsters its chicken offerings, debuting Chicken Fries in Singapore and trialing Smoky Maple Chicken Biscuits in U.S. markets. These exciting additions reflect the brands strategy to capitalize on the growing...

Onitsuka Tiger Unleashes Shinkansen-Inspired Sneakers in Collaboration With Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway

Onitsuka Tiger teams up with Hyogo travel brand Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway to launch a trio of Shinkansen bullet train-styled sneakers crafted with Kobe beef leather and traditional Hyogo craftsmanship. Showcasing...

Intel Unveils Plans for DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, Eyes Global Expansion

Intel Corporation is making strides in global chip research, announcing plans for a DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, South Korea. Intel is establishing a chips data lab in the region to scale up its...

Politics

Russia-Ukraine War: NATO to Narrow Divisions Over Ukraine's Membership Bid in Oslo Meeting

The foreign ministers of the NATO countries are looking to narrow down the divisions surrounding Ukraines bid to join the alliance in the upcoming meeting in Oslo this week. This comes as Ukraines allies are also at odds...

EU Parliament to Question Hungary's Ability to Hold EU Presidency Over Record on Rule of Law

The European Parliament is set to question Hungarys ability to hold the European Unions rotating presidency next year. The EU parliament cited Hungarys record on the rule of law. A draft parliamentary resolution by the...

Iran: IAEA Resolves Nuclear Issues Related to Sites With Uranium Particles

The International Atomic Energy Agency has reportedly resolved the nuclear issues with Iran related to a site where uranium particles were found. The issue comes as talks to restore the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran remain...

UK: Ministers Given More Time to Turn in Messages From Boris Johnson to Public COVID Inquiry

British ministers were given more time to turn in messages from former Prime Minister Boris Johnson as part of the public inquiry into the governments response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The extra time comes amid a...

Science

Drilling down on treatment-resistant fungi with molecular machines

`Fungi are present on the skin of around 70% of the population, without causing harm or benefit. Some fungal infections, like athletes foot, are minor. Others, like Candida albicans, can be deadly especially for...

Astronomers detected two major targets with a single telescope – a mysterious signal and its source galaxy

Astronomers have been working to better understand the galactic environments of fast radio bursts (FRBs) intense, momentary bursts of energy occurring in mere milliseconds and with unknown cosmic origins. Now, a study...

Biodegradable plastic in clothing doesn't break down nearly as quickly as hoped – new research

Plastic pollution has emerged as one of the most pressing environmental challenges of our time. Over 100 million tonnes of plastic enters the environment each year, with more than 10 million tonnes ending up in our oceans....

Gravitational wave detector LIGO is back online after 3 years of upgrades – how the world's most sensitive yardstick reveals secrets of the universe

After a three-year hiatus, scientists in the U.S. have just turned on detectors capable of measuring gravitational waves - tiny ripples in space itself that travel through the universe. Unlike light waves, gravitational...

Why don't rocks burn?

While many rocks dont burn, some of them do. It depends on what the rocks are made of and thats related to how they were formed. There are three main rock types: igneous, sedimentary and metamorphic. These rocks are...

Technology

Korea’s Netmarble Set to Release Three New Game Titles to Stop Losses

Netmarble Corporation, a South Korean mobile game developer which is also considered the largest mobile-gaming firm in the country, is set to release three new games, and the drops are starting in July. According to The...

Samsung Partners With Dezeen for Global 'Re:Create Design Challenge' to Upcycle Old Devices

Samsung Electronics, in collaboration with UK design magazine Dezeen, announces the Re:Create Design Challenge, a global contest aimed at upcycling and recycling old Samsung devices. The initiative reflects Samsungs...

TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Spearhead ByteDance's Rising Social Media Star, Lemon8

ByteDance taps TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to steer Lemon8, its fresh social media app, amid a corporate reshuffle and escalating tension between TikTok and the West. Launched in February, the lifestyle-oriented Lemon8 has...

Naver Reportedly Losing Market Share in Online Search Industry

Naver internet platform is reportedly losing its share in the search engine market in South Korea. It was the very first web portal that later became the largest internet company in the country, but with the arrival of...

Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard Acquisition Approved by Korean Regulators

Microsoft Corporation earned another point with its bid to acquire the Santa Monica, California-based video game holding company, Activision Blizzard, after the South Korean anti-trust regulator announced it has approved...
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