I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.
Poll wrap: Morrison's ratings slump in Newspoll; Wentworth's huge difference in on-the-day and early voting
Oct 29, 2018 19:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 25-28 from a sample of 1,650, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (down one), 9% Greens...
Poll wrap: Labor slips in Newspoll, but gains in Ipsos, in Wentworth and in Victoria
Oct 16, 2018 15:12 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 11-14 from a sample of 1,707, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 37% Coalition (up one), 11%...
Poll wrap: Worst reaction to midterm PM change in Newspoll history; contrary polls in Dutton's Dickson
Aug 28, 2018 12:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 24-26 - the days following the leadership spill - from a sample of 1,780, gave Labor a massive 56-44 lead, a five point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 41%...
How the hard right terminated Turnbull, only to see Scott Morrison become PM
Aug 25, 2018 07:52 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
After a week of vicious internal party politics, Malcolm Turnbull has been deposed as prime minister and replaced not by Peter Dutton, but Scott Morrison. In todays party room vote, Morrison, who was supported by Turnbull,...
Polls update: Trump’s ratings held up by US economy; Australian polls steady
Aug 13, 2018 15:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy
Three months before the November 6 US midterm elections, the FiveThirtyEight poll aggregate gives Donald Trump a 41.7% approval rating and a 52.5% disapproval rating, for a net approval of -10.8. Despite issues such as...
Poll wrap: Turnbull’s Newspoll ratings slump; Labor leads in Victoria; Longman preferences helped LNP
Aug 13, 2018 12:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 9-12 from a sample of 1,607, gave Labor a 51-49 lead, unchanged on last fortnight. Primary votes were 37% Coalition (down two), 35% Labor (down one), 10% Greens (steady) and 9% One...
Europe Roundup: Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months, European shares gains, Gold gains, Oil prices rise after U.S. debt deal, all eyes on OPEC meeting
CNN Appoints Warner Bros. Discovery Executive as Its New COO
Burger King Levels up Chicken Offerings: New Chicken Fries in Singapore and Smoky Maple Biscuit in US
Onitsuka Tiger Unleashes Shinkansen-Inspired Sneakers in Collaboration With Terroir Tabi and West Japan Railway
Intel Unveils Plans for DDR5 Validation Data Center Lab in Seoul, Eyes Global Expansion
Russia-Ukraine War: NATO to Narrow Divisions Over Ukraine's Membership Bid in Oslo Meeting
EU Parliament to Question Hungary's Ability to Hold EU Presidency Over Record on Rule of Law
Iran: IAEA Resolves Nuclear Issues Related to Sites With Uranium Particles
UK: Ministers Given More Time to Turn in Messages From Boris Johnson to Public COVID Inquiry
Drilling down on treatment-resistant fungi with molecular machines
Astronomers detected two major targets with a single telescope – a mysterious signal and its source galaxy
Biodegradable plastic in clothing doesn't break down nearly as quickly as hoped – new research
Gravitational wave detector LIGO is back online after 3 years of upgrades – how the world's most sensitive yardstick reveals secrets of the universe
Korea’s Netmarble Set to Release Three New Game Titles to Stop Losses
Samsung Partners With Dezeen for Global 'Re:Create Design Challenge' to Upcycle Old Devices
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to Spearhead ByteDance's Rising Social Media Star, Lemon8
Naver Reportedly Losing Market Share in Online Search Industry
Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard Acquisition Approved by Korean Regulators
The Supreme Court just shriveled federal protection for wetlands, leaving many of these valuable ecosystems at risk
Fujitsu, Microsoft Unite: Massive Investment to Enhance Uvance Business, Boosting Sustainability With Cloud Technology
Puma's Ambitious Sustainability Progress: 70% Products Made From 'Better Materials' in 2022, Aims for 90% by 2025
European soccer is having another reckoning over racism – is it time to accept the problem goes beyond bad fans?