- Kiwi is moving away slightly from five year lows reached on Thursday. Analysts are now forecasting 25bp OCR reductions in July, September and October. This will take the OCR to a low of 2.5% this year.
- A marked deterioration in NZ economic sentiment, evidenced by Consumer Confidence, Regional Economic Confidence and Employment Confidence surveys and reduction in global dairy prices to multi-year lows strengthens the cause for RBNZ cuts.
- The sharp sell-off in Chinese equity prices whIch according to analysts are a good reflection of the Chinese economy's trajectory does not bode well for the antipodeans.
- Analysts at Westpac are now forecasting an average NZD/USD exchange rate of 62 cents in the December quarter of 2015. NZD/USD is currently trading at 0.67056, heading back towards 5-year lows.
Resistance Levels:
R1: 0.6708 (10 4HMA)
R2: 0.6736 (July 2 high)
R3: 0.6812 (10 DMA)
Support Levels:
S1: 0.6674 (30 DMA)
S2: .6664 (2015 & 5 Yr Low Jul 2)
S3: 0.6602 (200-Month MA)






