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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Republic of Turkey likely to rise repo rate by 50bps

Dec 22, 2015 10:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Turkeys central bank, CBRT is yet to announce its rate decision today. Most of the market participants expect the bank to rise its repurchase rate by 50 basis points to 8%. The central bank governor Basci presentes the...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

Risk of capital outflow persists in China on Fed rate hike

Dec 22, 2015 09:38 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Greater tolerance for CNY weakness against the USD is likely to support the ebbed capital outflows moving ahead. The outflows might have risen in November. These are evidenced by a notable decline in PBoC FX Reserves of...

Currency War Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What caused PBoC’s TWI for currency mechanism – USD/CNY hedging perspectives

Dec 22, 2015 09:03 am UTC| Technicals

After PBoCs trade-weighted view of CNY during a last weekend, the warning shot from PBoC for the FX Wars, we dont think Fed has taken this into account very seriously. PBoCs operational documents were recently released...

Currency War Series

Two more cuts likely from RBA in H1 2016

Dec 22, 2015 04:36 am UTC| Commentary

Mirroring the lack of front end direction in AU/US rate spreads, AUD/USD is still trading in 0.70/0.74 range. This spread is likely to narrow from both sides over coming three months, sending the pair lower. Our...

Currency War Series

BoJ tweaks policy as growth firms

Dec 21, 2015 23:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The recent data flow from Japan on balance has been encouraging. Reports indicate that business expansion has strengthened and broadened, spanning from the labor market to capex. This weeks BoJ Tankan reinforced this...

Currency War Series

BoE to follow Fed but not in a hurry

Dec 21, 2015 23:18 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of England is expected to follow the Fed in coming months, launching a rate cycle before midyear. The UK labor market continued to strengthen this week, with a strong gain in jobs and another drop in the...

Currency War Series

Poland's NBP may cut policy rate by 75bps next year

Dec 21, 2015 13:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands net inflation for November released last week remained at 0.2 percent year on year. The CPI inflation rate is expected to enter negative territory in December. The economy is expected to remain in deflation of...

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Economy

Asian Stocks Mixed as OpenAI Revenue Concerns Hit Chipmakers

Asian stock markets traded unevenly on Friday as semiconductor shares declined following fresh concerns about OpenAIs revenue outlook, while rising oil prices and volatile bond markets weighed on investor sentiment. The...

Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens, Treasury Yields Fall

Gold prices climbed during Asian trading on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields, as investors assessed inflation concerns driven by rising oil prices and expectations of further Federal...

Asian Currencies Steady as Dollar Eyes Fourth Weekly Gain

Asian currencies traded largely flat on Friday as the U.S. dollar headed for its fourth consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again before the end of 2026....

US, EU Push for Action Against Asia’s Excess Factory Capacity

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said Thursday that European Union countries have reached a broad consensus on the need to address global manufacturing overcapacity, particularly in Asia, as concerns grow over its...

Wall Street Falls as Oil Prices Rise and Tech Stocks Slide

Wall Street stocks declined for a second consecutive session on Thursday as rising oil prices, Treasury market volatility, and concerns over OpenAIs revenue outlook weighed on investor sentiment. At 13:07 ET, the SP 500...

Politics

Venezuela’s Machado Calls for Elections by July 2027

Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado has called for presidential elections in Venezuela next year, saying the country has sufficient time to organize a vote by July 2027, according to a Financial Times report...

RFK Jr. Launches Nationwide Vaccine Safety Review

US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has launched a department-wide initiative to investigate and document reported health problems following vaccination, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced...

Zelenskiy Slams US Over Deadly Russian Strikes on Ukraine

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy criticized the United States for its reluctance to provide additional military support after Russian airstrikes killed dozens of civilians across Ukraine, intensifying tensions over...

Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula 49%-45% in Brazil Runoff Poll

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of the October 25 presidential runoff election, according to a Datafolha poll released Thursday. However, the results...

Trump Buys Up to $25M in Meta Stock, Invests in SpaceX Debt

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) shares briefly climbed more than 1% after President Donald Trumps latest financial disclosure revealed a stock purchase worth up to $25 million. The shares later trimmed their gains as...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Zcash Plans Quantum-Resistant Security Upgrade for January

Zcash (ZEC) developers are preparing to introduce quantum-resistant security features in January 2027, aiming to protect cryptocurrency wallets against potential threats from advanced quantum computing and artificial...

Apple Cuts iPhone 18 Pro Production Orders Amid Weak Demand

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has reportedly instructed several suppliers to reduce component production for its newly released iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, signaling potential challenges for the companys latest...

OpenAI Revenue Hits $50 Billion, Below Earlier $70 Billion Estimate

OpenAI has informed investors that its annualized revenue reached nearly $50 billion in September, significantly below the $70 billion previously indicated, according to a Reuters report on Thursday. The revised figure...

OpenAI Annualized Revenue Hits $50 Billion, Below Earlier Estimates

OpenAIs annualized revenue reached approximately $50 billion by the end of September 2026, significantly below the $70 billion previously reported to investors, according to financial documents reviewed by the Financial...

Oracle Uses Trucked Natural Gas to Power AI Data Centers Amid Pipeline Delays

Oracle Corp. is transporting natural gas by truck to several data centers across the United States as delays in pipeline construction threaten the companys artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion plans, Bloomberg...
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