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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

FED hike – where probabilities stand?

Dec 02, 2015 14:25 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Official stance in US monetary policy is that it will be data-dependent and the FOMC members will probably takethe opportunity to hike rates in thefinal meeting of the year, if inflation data and financial conditions...

Currency War Series

ECB meeting could trigger a chain reaction across major central banks

Dec 02, 2015 11:26 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

December is turning out to be an interesting month in terms of central banks monetary policy decisions. All eyes are on the much awaited European Central Bank meeting on Thursday, 3rd December which could possibly trigger...

Currency War Series

BoC’s likely to hike rates in imminent future

Dec 02, 2015 10:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Import prices in Canada have increased by 10.3% year on year and export prices by only 1.8%. As a result, terms of trade of the economy are becoming worse. This also leads to an inflationary pressure in the...

Currency War Series

BoK likely to deliver another 25 bp rate cut in Q1 16

Dec 02, 2015 04:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Korean governments increased efforts to recycle Koreas current account surplus is in line with the focus on engineering a weak KRW bias will continue. The broader trend stays steady, marked by slow inventory clearance and...

Currency War Series

Taiwan central bank to cut policy rates again, possibly by another 12.5bp in December

Dec 01, 2015 23:31 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Regarding monetary policy, oya GDP growth, which attract most attention from policymakers and the public, is expected remain negative in 4Q15 and 1Q16. Indeed, even the governments forecast of 1.06%oya for full-year 2015...

Currency War Series

ECB to ease on multiple fronts

Dec 01, 2015 22:31 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Recent Euro area data have been stronger than expected, suggesting some upside to the near-term growth trajectory. Expectations run high that the ECB will implement broad-based easing. Rather than a fine-tuning step the...

Currency War Series

SNB should act more than anybody

Dec 01, 2015 15:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Swiss National Bank (SNB) can be called as the top most conservative central bank in the modern world and probably the most away from mandate. Price stability is the key objective of Swiss National Bank (SNB), which...

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Economy

Taiwan Gains Confidence as U.S. Excludes It from AI Export Curbs

The U.S. governments decision to exclude Taiwan from its new restrictions on artificial intelligence (AI) chip and technology exports reflects confidence in the islands regulatory controls and legal compliance, Taiwans...

UK Inflation Stabilizes: November CPI at 2.6%, Signaling Economic Recovery

In November 2024, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the UK was reported at 2.6% compared to the same month last year, which matched what experts had predicted. This is an increase from October 2024, when the CPI was at...

China's Tightened Export Controls Disrupt U.S. Tech Firms' Production Plans

China is intensifying scrutiny of exports by U.S. tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Dell, delaying their production shifts to Southeast Asia and India, according to Nikkei Asia. Since December, dual-use technology...

Trump's Economic Policies to Face New Challenges in 2025

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is set to inherit a strong economy, but his aggressive policiestariffs, immigration restrictions, and tax cutsmight disrupt growth. With output above trend, near full employment, and...

U.S. Stock Futures Rise Amid Tariff Speculation and Key Data Focus

U.S. stock index futures gained on Monday evening as reports eased fears of disruptive trade tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump. Bloomberg reported that his team may propose a gradual tariff increase of 2%-5%...

Politics

South Korean Ex-President Yoon Arrested After Martial Law Attempt

Impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was arrested on Wednesday following a failed attempt to impose military law in late 2024, according to local media reports. Investigators successfully executed an arrest...

Biden Moves to Normalize U.S.-Cuba Relations Amid Major Policy Shifts

The Biden administration announced plans to remove Cuba from the U.S. terrorism blacklist, signaling a major policy shift that could reshape U.S.-Cuba relations. The move reverses sanctions imposed by former President...

Iranian President Denies Plot to Kill Trump, Refutes U.S. Claims

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian dismissed allegations that Iran plotted to assassinate U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. In an NBC News interview, Pezeshkian stated, We have never attempted this to begin with and we...

Pete Hegseth Faces Tight Confirmation Battle for Secretary of Defense

President-elect Donald Trumps nominee for Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, endured intense scrutiny during his confirmation hearing, highlighting sharp partisan divides. Hegseth, a decorated veteran and former Fox News...

SEC Accuses Elon Musk of Securities Law Violation Over Twitter Stake Delay

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Elon Musk, accusing him of delaying the disclosure of his substantial stake in Twitter, now known as X, in 2022. The SEC alleges Musk violated...

Science

Double Moonshot: Japan’s ispace and Firefly Launch Lunar Missions

In a significant stride for lunar exploration, Japanese company ispace and U.S.-based Firefly Aerospace launched moon landers aboard a SpaceX rocket from Florida. This rare double mission highlights the growing competition...

Bill Gates’ Shocking New Malaria Solution Unveiled as Genetically Modified Mosquitoes Turn Into Flying Vaccinators

In a groundbreaking and controversial move, researchers funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation at Leiden University Medical Center have developed a revolutionary approach to combat malaria. The team has created...

Explosive CIA Whistleblower Claims Havana Syndrome Victims Face Cancer, Dementia, and Government Betrayal

A former CIA operative has come forward with alarming allegations, claiming that victims of the mysterious Havana Syndrome are now battling devastating health issues, including cancer, dementia, and Parkinsons disease. The...

FDA Approval of Opdivo Injection Sparks Hope for Cancer Patients with Revolutionary Treatment Update

In a significant advancement for cancer care, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved an injectable version of Bristol Myers Squibbs blockbuster cancer drug Opdivo. Branded as Opdivo Qvantig, the new...

Public Health Experts Warn of ‘Quad-Demic’ as Flu, COVID, RSV, and Norovirus Threaten Winter Surge

Public health experts are raising alarms over a potential quad-demic this winter, with flu, COVID-19, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and norovirus all expected to surge simultaneously. This unprecedented convergence of...

Technology

TikTok Braces for Possible US Shutdown This Sunday Amid Security Concerns

TikTok, the popular short-video platform owned by ByteDance, could face a nationwide shutdown in the U.S. as early as this Sunday, according to The Information. The move follows increased scrutiny from lawmakers and...

What si RedNote? The Chinese App Gaining Global Attention Amid TikTok Uncertainty

RedNote, known as Xiaohongshu in China, has gained massive attention as over half a million TikTok users flock to the platform amid concerns over a U.S. ban on TikTok. This lifestyle app allows users to share experiences,...

Trade Groups Push Back on Biden's New Chip Export Rules

A coalition of semiconductor and manufacturing trade groups has expressed concerns to U.S. President Joe Biden over recently announced export controls on advanced computing chips. The Semiconductor Industry Association...

Global Smartphone Market Sees Shifts as Chinese Brands Gain Ground

Smartphone shipments for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Samsung (KS:005930) declined in Q4 as competition from Chinese companies like Xiaomi (OTC:XIACF) intensified, according to preliminary data from IDC. Despite a rebound in...

Blue Origin's New Glenn Rocket Launch Delayed to Thursday

Blue Origin, Jeff Bezos rocket company, has rescheduled the inaugural launch of its New Glenn rocket to Thursday, Jan. 16. Originally set for Tuesday, the launch was delayed after a technical issue arose on Monday. The...
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