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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

MXN, BRL likely to continue to underperform

Jan 06, 2016 07:48 am UTC| Commentary

Rising global demand and lower oil prices under - valuates the MXN in the short term, as compared to its long term fair value. At the moment, Mexicos monetary policy is completely tied with the U.S. The traders do not...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

China Crisis Series

Commodity and EM currencies bore the brunt of the New Year's sell-off

Jan 05, 2016 03:14 am UTC| Commentary

Currencies started 2016 on a weak note. China depreciated the Chinese yuan beyond 6.50 against the US dollar. Closing at 6.5338 yesterday, the CNY fell 0.6% on the first trading day, after a full-year decline of 4.5% in...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

China Crisis Series

China’s economic slowdown in part of the restructuring plan

Jan 05, 2016 02:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Chinas economic slowdown is just the beginning. This is part of the grand restructuring plan that has to go through. The persistent weakening of the CNY, a bubbling domestic bond market, and an erratic stock market shall...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Oil, inflation and politics to drive MXN, BRL price action

Jan 04, 2016 12:14 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Headwinds to global demand, coupled with lower oil prices and generally negative Emerging Markets sentiment are likely to keep pressure on the Mexican peso in 2016. Although MXN is somewhat cheap compared with its...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Growth outlook remains a concern in Taiwan

Jan 04, 2016 02:15 am UTC| Commentary

The trade and inflation data for Dec15 are due this week. Exports are expected to contract for the 11th month in a row, by -13% (YoY). CPI growth should stay marginally positive, at 0.3%. Global demand remains weak and the...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Deeper slump in South Korea's electronics exports accentuates drop in December shipments

Jan 04, 2016 01:12 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Exports fell by 13.8% y/y in December, much weaker than expected (consensus: -11.7%), following a one-time vessel delivery lift in November (Nov: -4.8% y/y; Oct: -16.0%). The release marked the weakest annual export...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

MXN and BRL: Oil, inflation and politics to drive price action

Jan 04, 2016 00:33 am UTC| Commentary Politics

Although MXN is somewhat cheap compared with its long-term fair value, headwinds to global demand, coupled with the consequences of lower oil prices, justify the short-term undervaluation. The risks are tilted to further...

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Economy

China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices

Chinas central bank has continued to strengthen its gold reserves, extending its buying streak to a 15th consecutive month in January, according to the latest data released by the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC). The move...

Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal

President Donald Trump has signed a landmark executive order removing the 25% penalty tariff on Indian goods, signaling a major shift in U.S.India trade relations and global geopolitical alignment. The move functions as...

Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a new executive order that could impose tariffs of up to 25% on countries that continue to do business with Iran, marking a significant escalation in Washingtons pressure campaign...

U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains

The United States and India have taken a significant step toward a long-anticipated bilateral trade agreement by releasing an interim trade framework aimed at lowering tariffs, reshaping energy ties, and strengthening...

Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility

U.S. stocks surged on Friday, posting their strongest session since May 2025, as investors regained confidence following a turbulent week marked by sharp losses in technology shares and uncertainty around the artificial...

Politics

Ohio Man Indicted for Alleged Threat Against Vice President JD Vance, Faces Additional Federal Charges

A federal grand jury has returned an indictment against a 33-year-old Ohio man accused of threatening to kill U.S. Vice President JD Vance during the vice presidents visit to the Ohio region in January, according to the...

New York Legalizes Medical Aid in Dying for Terminally Ill Patients

New York has officially joined a growing number of U.S. states allowing medical aid in dying after Governor Kathy Hochul signed landmark legislation into law on Friday. The new New York medical aid in dying law permits...

Trump Says “Very Good Talks” Underway on Russia-Ukraine War as Peace Efforts Continue

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that very good talks are ongoing regarding Russias war in Ukraine, signaling potential movement in long-running diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. Speaking briefly to...

China Warns US Arms Sales to Taiwan Could Disrupt Trump’s Planned Visit

China has issued a strong warning to the United States, signaling that any additional arms sales to Taiwan could seriously jeopardize U.S. President Donald Trumps planned visit to China in April. According to a report...

Trump Allows Commercial Fishing in Protected New England Waters

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a proclamation permitting commercial fishing in a previously restricted marine protected area off the coast of New England, a move that has sparked renewed debate over ocean...

Science

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

Technology

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Says AI Investment Boom Is Just Beginning as NVDA Shares Surge

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang reaffirmed his bullish stance on artificial intelligence, calling the massive capital expenditure flowing into AI infrastructure both appropriate and necessary as the industry...

Amazon Stock Rebounds After Earnings as $200B Capex Plan Sparks AI Spending Debate

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) delivered a mixed but closely watched earnings report, beating Wall Street expectations on revenue while unveiling a massive long-term investment plan that unsettled investors. The e-commerce and...

Global PC Makers Eye Chinese Memory Chip Suppliers Amid Ongoing Supply Crunch

Major PC manufacturers including HP, Dell, Acer, and Asus are reportedly exploring the option of sourcing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor companies for the first time, as a prolonged global supply crunch continues...

OpenAI Expands Enterprise AI Strategy With Major Hiring Push Ahead of New Business Offering

OpenAI is significantly accelerating its enterprise AI strategy by hiring hundreds of new employees for its technical consulting division, according to a report by The Information, citing a person familiar with the...

SoftBank Shares Slide After Arm Earnings Miss Fuels Tech Stock Sell-Off

SoftBank Group Corp. (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Thursday, tracking a steep decline in Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) after the UK-based chip designer reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the December quarter....
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