FxWirePro: EUR/JPY valuations in sync with 1Y skews, 1y RRs highest among G10 FX space – Bid OTC indications for delta-hedges, directional and aggressive traders

Jan 03, 2018 09:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURJPY PPP and FEER valuations are the yen bears arch-enemies, but they apply far more to the USDJPY than to the EURJPY, given that the euro, too, is significantly undervalued on a PPP basis. The PIIE puts a...

FxWirePro Poll: BoE likely to keep Bank Rate steady at 0.5 pct in Q1 2018

Jan 03, 2018 08:10 am UTC| Commentary Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The Bank of England (BoE) is seen holding its benchmark interest rate or the Bank Rate steady at 0.5 percent in the first quarter of this year, after having adopted a rate hike at its previous meeting in 2017, an FxWirePro...

FxWirePro: EMFX forecasts indicate SGD’s bearishness, trade balance cushions continued bullishness – Credit call spreads for directional hedging

Jan 03, 2018 07:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Against the forwards, the forecasts have been the most bearish on the TWD, KRW, THB, RUB SGD and the most bullish on the TRY, CZK PLN. On a regional basis, EMEA should outperform. We could foresee slightly more EM Asian...

FxWirePro: New Year trade resolutions for EMFX baskets

Jan 02, 2018 12:48 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We reckon bullish USD/EM baskets, spot rates should be upwardly biased, and the bulk of total return performance in 2018, if any, should come via carry similar to the past two years. The risk to our forecasts is a...

FxWirePro: Robust manufacturing sector boosts up Singapore/Asian exports, likely to prolong in 2018, buzzing yields in SGD – Credit Call Spreads to hedge

Jan 02, 2018 12:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The GDP in Singapore advanced an annualized 2.8% QoQ basis in the last three months of 2017, below 9.4% in Q3 and market expectations of 2.9%, advance estimates report. The Singapore economy grew a strong 3.5% in 2017...

FxWirePro: G10 central banks’ tiptoe actions in 2018 - EUR/NZD knock-outs to carve vanilla calls pricing but to serve similar objective

Jan 02, 2018 09:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

A few more central banks tiptoe to the exit 2017 was the year in which more central banks broke ranks. We expect this to continue in 2018. The Fed will hike four times and the BoC two, which supports long positions in USD...

FxWirePro: EMFX space in 2018 likely to benefit from US expansionary phase

Jan 02, 2018 07:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Record US expansion/strong global growth supportive for selective carry if the US expansion can survive until spring 2019 it would be the longest in post-war history. And whether the Fed hikes three times next year or...