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Reshaping NAFTA could be good for Mexico's economy (and Brazil's and Argentina's, too)

Apr 18, 2017 13:39 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Among other threats targeting Mexico during his election campaign, US President Donald Trump harshly criticised the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), a 23-year-old tripartite deal that removed tariffs and...

FxWirePro: China to drive Q2 demand boost in industrial metals but not standalone

Apr 18, 2017 13:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Over the past 10 years, quarterly data show that on average global demand across the base metals we cover has increased between 2.5% and 11% QoQ in the second quarter (refer above chart). With the exception of nickel,...

Thatcher, Reagan and Robin Hood: a history of modern wealth inequality

Apr 18, 2017 12:48 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Persistently high rates of income or wealth inequality are bad for social cohesion, political inclusion and crime. The evidence for this is overwhelming. Often, stubbornly high income inequality partly reflects deep...

FxWirePro: Dollar eyes on Fed’s crunch time in June while Yuan still appears sluggish – Deploy Diagonal Call Spreads to reduce hedging cost

Apr 18, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Chinas Q1 GDP growth came in better than expected, at 6.9% y/y. Chinas investment accelerated in Q1 while consumption softened. In our view, investment has accelerated due to a delayed effect of the property boom, while...

FxWirePro: Favour optionality in CHF longs vs USD via 3m put spread and EUR via cash

Apr 18, 2017 11:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Our longstanding bullish view on CHF has been motivated by decent domestic data both on the activity and inflation front which should eventually result in reduced FX intervention activity by the SNB. The past week...

U.S. inflation softens due to temporary factors, should not worry the Fed too much

Apr 18, 2017 11:37 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

A report by the Labor Department on Friday last week showed U.S. Consumer Price Index dropped 0.3 percent in March, the first decline since February 2016. March US CPI inflation was much weaker than expectations for an...

FxWirePro: EMFX basket and hedging perspectives

Apr 18, 2017 08:59 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

In BRICS FX bloc, ZAR weakness has probably run its course while the RUB benefited from the improving macro story in Russia and, more recently, from the firm recovery in oil prices with Brent bouncing above $55. We...

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Economy

Trump Defends Economic Record in North Carolina as Midterm Election Pressure Mounts

U.S. President Donald Trump traveled to the battleground state of North Carolina on Friday to defend his economic policies and reassure voters that the U.S. economy remains on solid footing, as concerns grow ahead of a...

EU Approves €90 Billion Ukraine Aid as Frozen Russian Asset Plan Stalls

Ukraine welcomed a major European Union decision on Friday to provide 90 billion in financial support over the next two years, a move Kyiv says will significantly strengthen its economic resilience amid the ongoing war...

Kevin Hassett Says Inflation Is Below Target, Backs Trump’s Call for Rate Cuts

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said President Donald Trump is correct in claiming inflation is low, despite official data, public sentiment, and many economists suggesting otherwise. Speaking on Fox Business,...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Tech Rally Offsets Consumer Weakness

U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, recovering from a volatile start to the week as gains in technology and AI-related shares outweighed sharp declines in consumer stocks such as Nike. Major indexes finished in positive...

EU Delays Mercosur Free Trade Agreement Signing Amid Ukraine War Funding Talks

The European Union has decided to delay the formal signing of its long-anticipated free trade agreement with the Mercosur bloc, as EU leaders convened in Brussels to prioritize discussions on funding Ukraines war effort....

Politics

U.S. Launches Large-Scale Airstrikes on ISIS Targets in Syria After Deadly Attack

The United States military carried out extensive airstrikes against Islamic State (ISIS) targets across Syria on Friday, escalating its response after a deadly attack on American personnel, according to U.S. officials. The...

Putin Envoy Heads to Miami for High-Stakes Talks as U.S. Pushes Ukraine Peace Deal

Russian President Vladimir Putins special envoy Kirill Dmitriev is traveling to Miami for talks with U.S. President Donald Trumps envoy Steve Witkoff and Trumps son-in-law Jared Kushner, according to a Russian source cited...

Russian Missile Strike on Odesa Port Kills Seven, Disrupts Key Trade Routes

A Russian missile attack late on Friday struck critical port infrastructure near Ukraines Black Sea port city of Odesa, killing at least seven people and injuring 15 others, according to Ukrainian officials. The attack...

Trump Nominates Lt. Gen. Frank Donovan to Lead U.S. Southern Command Amid Rising Tensions in Latin America

U.S. President Donald Trump has nominated Lieutenant General Frank Donovan, the vice commander of U.S. Special Operations Command, to become the next head of U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM), the military body responsible...

Brazil Court Allows Bolsonaro Hospital Trip Amid Prison Sentence

Brazils Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes has authorized former President Jair Bolsonaro to temporarily leave the Federal Police Superintendency in Brasília, where he is currently serving a 27-year prison...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

U.S. Lawmakers Urge Pentagon to Blacklist More Chinese Tech Firms Over Military Ties

A group of nine Republican U.S. lawmakers has formally urged the Pentagon to expand its list of Chinese companies accused of supporting Chinas military, intensifying scrutiny of Beijing-linked technology firms amid rising...

Dina Powell McCormick Resigns From Meta Board After Eight Months, May Take Advisory Role

Dina Powell McCormick has resigned from Meta Platforms board of directors effective immediately, just eight months after joining the social media company, Meta confirmed on Friday. The unexpected departure comes at a time...

TikTok U.S. Deal Advances as ByteDance Signs Binding Joint Venture Agreement

TikTok has taken a major step toward securing its future in the United States after its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, announced it has signed binding agreements with three major investors to form a new joint venture...

Trump Administration Reviews Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to China, Marking Major Shift in U.S. AI Export Policy

The U.S. government under President Donald Trump has launched a formal review that could pave the way for the first-ever shipments of Nvidias H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, according to multiple sources...

Oracle Stock Surges After Hours on TikTok Deal Optimism and OpenAI Fundraising Buzz

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) shares surged sharply in extended trading on Thursday, reflecting renewed investor optimism fueled by reports of a potential U.S. TikTok transaction and fresh fundraising discussions...