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FxWirePro: WTI supply glut likely to intensify pressures on bulls - ‘DCCS’ spread to spread returns regardless of swings

Sep 13, 2016 13:15 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Crude prices extend losses Tuesday on thebearish report by IEA. In its September report, the IEA noted a slowdown in demand. As a result, the market is likely to remain oversupplied next year. Its 2016 forecast for...

A glimpse on US elections, 3m FX HVs and IVs

Sep 13, 2016 12:53 pm UTC| Insights & Views Research & Analysis

The US polls currently give Clinton a 2-5 point advantage over Trump. Polls also highlight a near-record lack of trust in government, which increases the risk of a surprise anti-establishment vote. In the floating...

Upbeat Chinese data dump lowers downside risk for Q3 GDP

Sep 13, 2016 11:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Chinas economy picked up steam in August, as demand rebounded on higher government spending and a year-long credit and property boom. Chinas August activity data which came in stronger than expected, following a set of...

FxWirePro: MXN cheap valuation versus crude oil, US polls and 1m-3m ATM tenors

Sep 13, 2016 08:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The MXN is around two standard deviations cheap versus oil prices as you can observe in the above chart (based on a weekly regression of FX and oil prices since 2014), while the rest of G10 and EM oil-driven currencies are...

FxWirePro: Taiwanese dollar appears to be more rates sensitive – Uphold USD/TWD longs

Sep 13, 2016 07:11 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

We emphasize potential trading opportunities related to anomalies or dislocations in emerging market currencies. TWD has been too strong versus rate differentials, The TWD is more correlated to interest rate...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY spot gains move in sync with 1w OTC bets – Bid bullish RR flashes to deploy shorts in “credit put spreads”

Sep 13, 2016 06:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals of EURJPY have again shown in bullish interests as the progressive increase in positive numbers to signify the traction for short term upside sentiments in 1w expiries but no changes for further...

FxWirePro: Directional traders short USD/BRL gamma via calendar spreads

Sep 12, 2016 12:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views

One of a handful of currencies where we do not mind earning the fat vol carry on offer is BRL. Front-end USDBRL vols have popped higher over the past two weeks alongside a bounce in thespot, and are once again packing in a...

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Economy

Oil Prices Climb on Venezuela Blockade, Russia Sanctions Fears, and Supply Risks

Oil prices extended their gains during Asian trading on Thursday as geopolitical tensions involving Venezuela and Russia heightened concerns over global crude supply. Market sentiment was boosted after U.S. President...

Asian Stocks Slide as AI Spending Fears and Global Central Bank Decisions Weigh on Markets

Asian shares fell sharply on Thursday as technology stocks came under renewed pressure, driven by growing investor concerns over heavy artificial intelligence spending and its impact on corporate balance sheets. Market...

Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Global Central Bank Decisions as Yen, Sterling and Euro React

The U.S. dollar remained steady against major global currencies on Thursday as investors positioned themselves ahead of key central bank decisions in the United Kingdom, Europe and Japan. Currency markets showed cautious...

BoE Set to Cut Rates as UK Inflation Slows, but Further Easing Likely Limited

The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates on Thursday as signs mount that UK inflation is easing and economic growth is weakening. Financial markets anticipate a 25-basis-point reduction, bringing the...

U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Micron Earnings Boost AI Sentiment Ahead of CPI Data

U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Wednesday evening, supported by blowout earnings and strong guidance from Micron Technology, although broader gains remained limited as investors stayed cautious ahead of key U.S....

Politics

Trump Announces $1,776 Cash Bonus for U.S. Military Personnel Ahead of Christmas

U.S. President Donald Trump announced Wednesday evening that eligible U.S. military personnel will receive a one-time cash payment of $1,776, a move he described as a special warrior dividend timed ahead of Christmas. The...

U.S. House Advances GOP Healthcare Bill as ACA Subsidies Near Expiration

A major U.S. federal healthcare subsidy expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic is set to expire at the end of the year after the House of Representatives narrowly advanced a Republican healthcare bill that does not renew...

U.S. Initiates $11.1 Billion Arms Sale to Taiwan Amid Rising China Tensions

Taiwans defence ministry announced on Thursday that the United States government has formally initiated the congressional notification process for a proposed $11.1 billion arms sale to Taiwan, underscoring Washingtons...

Union-Aligned Investors Question Amazon, Walmart and Alphabet on Trump Immigration Policies

A union-aligned investment group has urged major U.S. corporations including Amazon, Walmart and Google-parent Alphabet to explain how President Donald Trumps immigration policies are affecting their finances, workforce...

Venezuela Seeks UN Security Council Meeting Over U.S. Oil Tanker Blockade

Venezuela has formally requested an urgent meeting of the United Nations Security Council to address what it described as ongoing U.S. aggression against the country, according to a letter seen by Reuters. The request...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

Apple Opens iPhone to Alternative App Stores in Japan Under New Competition Law

Apple has announced a major shift in its App Store policies in Japan, opening iPhones and other Apple devices to alternative app stores in order to comply with new competition laws aimed at reshaping the countrys...

Micron Technology Forecasts Surge in Revenue and Earnings on AI-Driven Memory Demand

Micron Technology delivered record first-quarter results and issued a bullish forecast for the current quarter, driven by rising memory prices and strong demand linked to artificial intelligence workloads. The upbeat...

Oracle Stock Slides After Blue Owl Exit Report, Company Says Michigan Data Center Talks Remain on Track

Oracle shares fell more than 4% on Wednesday after a Financial Times report claimed that Blue Owl Capital, Oracles largest U.S. data center partner, decided not to support a planned $10 billion data center project in...

OpenAI Explores Massive Funding Round at $750 Billion Valuation

OpenAI, the company behind the widely used AI chatbot ChatGPT, has reportedly entered preliminary discussions with investors about a potential new funding round that could value the company at approximately $750 billion....

Republicans Raise National Security Concerns Over Intel’s Testing of China-Linked Chipmaking Tools

Republican lawmakers are raising alarms over potential U.S. national security risks after a Reuters report revealed that Intel evaluated advanced chipmaking equipment from ACM Research, a company with significant ties to...