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FxWirePro: What Is Spotted-Out In August Seasonality of FX Vol?

Aug 12, 2020 13:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

August FX vol bounce is real, particularly in yen crosses but monthly vol rallies tend to be only of the order of 1vol. This relatively benign outcome leaves us comfortable with carrying short skews as a core theta-earning...

FxWirePro: Demand/Supply Equation & Hedging Strategy of Brent Crude

Aug 12, 2020 11:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

After six consecutive weeks of stalling global mobility, we trim our 2H20 demand assumptions by 1.5 mbd. The core demand scenario calls for a shallower recovery, rather than a renewed sharp downturn as governments,...

FxWirePro: Dollar Seems Apprehensive On Fed’s Concerns, Short USD/CHF

Aug 12, 2020 10:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Negotiations on a new economic stimulus package in the USA are still at an impasse. Since Friday there are said to have been no more direct talks between Democrats and Republicans. The markets and the Dollar are still...

FxWirePro: Kiwis tumbles as RBNZ maintains status-quo but intends for LSAP – Uphold ‘diagonal put spreads’ to hedge NZD/USD

Aug 12, 2020 07:11 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Kiwis central bank (RBNZ) left the stance of monetary policy broadly unchanged today, as widely anticipated. The RBNZs headline was that a further easing in monetary policy has been delivered. But it is further only in...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD/JPY FVA Spread

Aug 11, 2020 15:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have further raised our EUR-USD forecast, as we believe that the depreciation trend of the US dollar is not yet over. It is becoming increasingly apparent that the Fed will stick to an ultra-expansionary monetary policy...

FxWirePro: Quick Glance At AUD/JPY One-Touch Put Calendar Spread

Aug 11, 2020 14:47 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Amid the marginally more cautious backdrop below we review some limited downside and RV opportunities. We advocate monetizing the current AUDJPY curve set-up via short 1M vs long 2M one-touch calendar spreads, capped loss...

FxWirePro: A Glimpse At Spot Gyration And FX Vol Backdrop

Aug 11, 2020 12:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The recent past has seen some notable spot gyrations our view is that FX vols are priced fairly for such backdrop and absent a major adverse development suggest keeping a status quo as our tactical gamma trading models...

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Economy

Japan’s Business Leaders Anticipate Economic Growth Boost Under New Prime Minister Ishiba

As Shigeru Ishiba prepares to take over as Japans next prime minister, business leaders are hopeful that his administration will implement policies to accelerate the nations economic recovery. With wage increases and...

Global Active ETF Assets Hit Record $1 Trillion Amid Regulatory Changes and Innovation

Global active ETF assets reached a milestone $1 trillion in August, according to ETFGI, driven by regulatory shifts and diverse product offerings. Analysts expect accelerated growth in the coming years.* Regulatory...

TD Bank Nears Guilty Plea Over U.S. Money Laundering Allegations

TD Bank is reportedly nearing a guilty plea regarding criminal charges alleging that its U.S. retail banking arm failed to curb money laundering, according to The Wall Street Journal. The alleged laundering activities are...

UBS: China’s Stimulus Measures Could Boost Struggling Economy

Chinas recent stimulus measures are being viewed as a potential turning point for its struggling economy, according to analysts at UBS. Amid slowing economic momentum and mounting deflationary pressures, Chinas top...

Politics

부유한 투자자 57%, 해리스 지지 계획… 43%는 트럼프 선호 - 설문조사

최근 UBS 설문조사에 따르면, 다수의 부유한 투자자들이 다가오는 미국 대선에서 카말라 해리스 부통령을 지지할 계획인 것으로 나타났다. 해당 설문조사에서 부유한 투자자의 57%가 해리스를 선호하는 반면, 43%는 도널드 트럼프 전...

이스라엘, 레바논과 휴전 논의 지속할 것이라고 네타냐후 밝혀

베냐민 네타냐후 이스라엘 총리는 금요일(현지시간) 이스라엘이 향후 며칠간 레바논과의 휴전 제안을 계속 논의할 것이라고 밝혔으며, 워싱턴은 추가적인 충돌이 양측 민간인들의 귀환을 더욱 어렵게 만들 것이라고 경고했다. 이스라엘...

한국, 이시바 총리 체제 일본과 우호 관계 구축할 것

한국 외교부는 이시바 시게루가 일본 집권당의 당수로 선출된 이후 일본의 새 내각과 함께 가장 가까운 이웃이자 파트너인 일본과 긍정적인 관계를 구축하기 위해 협력할 것을 기대한다고 밝혔다. 윤석열 대통령은 일본의 전시 역사로...

이시바 시게루, 다섯 번째 도전 끝에 일본 총리로 선출

일본의 차기 총리로 선출된 이시바 시게루는 금요일 (현지시간) 다섯 번째이자 자신이 말하는 마지막 총재 도전에서 승리한 후 집권당을 쇄신하고, 경제를 부흥시키며, 강대국 이웃들의 안보 위협에 대응하겠다고 밝혔다. 67세의 전...

바이든 행정명령, 3D 총기 규제 및 학교 총격 대응 훈련 개선 기대

로이터통신에 따르면 조 바이든 미국 대통령과 카말라 해리스 부통령은 목요일 (현지시간) 3D 프린팅 및 개조된 총기로 인한 위협에 대응하고 학교의 총격 대응 훈련을 개선하기 위한 새로운 행정명령을 발표했다. 바이든이 백악관...

Science

Starlink Reaches 4 Million Customers Globally as SpaceX Expands Operations and Services

SpaceXs Starlink has officially surpassed 4 million customers across more than 100 countries. This milestone was announced by SpaceX COO Gwynne Shotwell, who also outlined plans for expanding Starlinks satellite network...

SpaceX Enhances Crew Dragon Safety with Emergency Thruster Landing Capability for Crews

SpaceX has introduced a significant safety enhancement to its Crew Dragon spacecraft, allowing the use of thrusters for emergency landings if parachutes fail. This new feature will be active in the upcoming Crew 9 mission,...

SpaceX Nears 4 Million Starlink Customers and Invests $3 Billion in Texas Starship Development

SpaceX is on the verge of hitting four million Starlink customers, according to President Gwynne Shotwell. The company has invested $3 billion into Starship facilities in Texas, emphasizing the significance of Starship for...

SpaceX Criticizes FAA Over Licensing Delays and 'Inaccurate' Testimony in Congressional Hearing

SpaceX has called out the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for making incorrect and concerning claims during a congressional hearing. The tension centers around SpaceXs licensing challenges for Starship missions and...

Technology

Bitcoin Soars Past Gold: Michael Saylor Says BTC's 51% Surge Crushes Traditional Assets

Bitcoin continues its meteoric rise in 2024, boasting a 51% year-to-date gain that outstrips gold and real estate. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy underscores Bitcoins superior performance as it reclaims $66,000,...

PEPE Rockets 16%—Is the Meme Coin Set to Kickstart a Massive Altcoin Boom?

PEPE surged by 16%, reigniting excitement in the crypto space as traders wonder if this spike is the precursor to an altcoin season. With a market cap of $4.74 billion, the meme coin is showing signs of leading the charge,...

Tesla's Mystery Prototype Spotted in California—Is This the Game-Changing $25K EV?

A camouflaged Tesla Model 3 prototype, potentially signaling Teslas rumored $25,000 electric vehicle, was spotted in California. The sighting has reignited speculation about Teslas push to dominate the affordable EV...

Hamster Kombat Token Ignites $1.2 Billion Trading Frenzy—TON Network Faces Massive Airdrop Pressure

Hamster Kombats highly anticipated HMSTR token launch sparked over $1.2 billion in trading within 24 hours, putting The Open Network under immense pressure from distributing a massive airdrop to potentially 100 million...
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