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Over the past decade, China has emerged as global superpower of economics and Geo-politics. Chinese currency Yuan has emerged as top contender to Challenge global dominance of Dollar. This year in Yuan might join International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket, strengthening Yuan’s position as global reserve currency. In this series, we discuss about China, its politics, economics, and vulnerabilities with a view of Renminbi.

Renminbi Series

Weak CNY/CNH exchange rate likely in imminent future

Dec 09, 2015 08:40 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas CPI inflation for November increased to 1.5% year on year from 1.3% in previous month. The CPI inflation in November is mainly driven by the food prices as it inched up to 2.3 year on year against 1.9% in previous...

Renminbi Series

China FX reserve tumbles over outflow and valuation

Dec 08, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinas FX reserve tumbled by $87 billion in November, despite positive current account of $54.1 billion, bringing back fears of outflow return, which massacred Chinas FX reserve in August, when FX reserve fell by record...

Renminbi Series

CNY likely to depreciate further

Dec 07, 2015 05:32 am UTC| Commentary

The FX market is likely to strengthen ahead of FOMC meeting on 16th December, says Barclays. On the other hand, if China allows CNY to depreciate, the regional currencies will be under pressure. USDCNY pair increased to...

Renminbi Series

Fitch: Taiwan Banks Face Derivatives Risks as Chinese Yuan Weakens

Dec 07, 2015 01:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Taiwanese banks, mostly private-sector ones, face increasing risks from leveraged products due to the depreciation of the Chinese yuan, Fitch Ratings says. Latest financial reports reveal Taiwanese banks rising exposure...

Renminbi Series

USDCNY on the verge of a break higher

Dec 07, 2015 00:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

USDAsia crosses have failed to gain upward momentum in the past week after the ECB disappointed markets. Although the FX market is likely to consolidate ahead of the FOMC statement on 16 December, the risk to regional...

Renminbi Series

China’s FX reserves likely resumed decline in November

Dec 04, 2015 09:37 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas Foreign Reserve is expected to be USD 3482.5 billion as per the market consensus in the month of November. In October, the FX reserves were USD 3525.5 bn. Chinas FX reserves probably resumed its decline in...

Renminbi Series

CNY-CNH spread under pressure

Dec 04, 2015 09:14 am UTC| Commentary Technicals

Chinas central bank has lowered CNY-CNH spread by 131pps to 6.3851, to a two-week low. There were strong USD longs in onshore market as the lower fixing rate helps the corporates which need to hedge/unwind short USD...

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