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Crisis Alpha Series

©Econometrics LLC 2025. All Rights Reserved.

‘Crisis alpha’ here refers to profits made by exploiting trends in markets during times of crisis. Most investment strategies are susceptible to suffering devastating losses during equity market crisis. Given this, for almost any investor, the key to finding true diversification is in finding an investment which is able to deliver performance during these turbulent periods. The recent losses of the equity crisis have also reinforced to investors the importance of diversification to other asset classes and it is well known that diversified Managed Futures strategies tend to perform well when equity markets take losses, making them an excellent candidate for diversifying a portfolio. In this series, we will cover real stories and strategies that are designed to deliver a 'crisis alpha' stream for investors who worry about their long-only exposure in global equity markets.

Crisis Alpha Series

Volatile volatility too volatile this year

Nov 30, 2015 11:49 am UTC| Commentary

Volatility, which is known as VIX in financial market is a measure of market movement (SP500, rather expected market movement using option price. Using reverse Black Sholes equation and options price in the market, VIX or...

Crisis Alpha Series

Is the Swiss franc still a safe-haven?

Nov 26, 2015 22:35 pm UTC| Commentary

The equity sell-off in August was accompanied by an atypical rally in EUR/CHF which has led the market to question whether the franc can still be regarded as a safe-haven with a tendency to outperform in stressed market...

Crisis Alpha Series

Market forecasts mixed as investors await clarity on global monetary policies

Nov 24, 2015 00:53 am UTC| Insights & Views

October was a pre-holiday gift for stock market bulls: One of the smoothest, drama-free ralliesin a long time. As more and more market players are assuming the chances of the U.S. FederalReserve raising interest rates...

Crisis Alpha Series

Fitch: Investors Accept Negative Euro MMF Yields; VW Exposure Cut

Nov 16, 2015 09:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Fitch Ratings says that investors are accepting negative euro money market funds yields, as they face the lack of low-risk alternatives and amid heightened risk aversion at a time of market stress, as was the case over the...

Crisis Alpha Series

Stocks tumble as global growth worries drive volatility

Oct 16, 2015 08:54 am UTC| Commentary

The increase in volatility that we saw in August continued into September. This volatility was fueled largely by investors concerns about global growth. Despite the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged and...

Crisis Alpha Series

August turned out to offer anything but the summer doldrums

Sep 27, 2015 12:35 pm UTC| Commentary

Investors went into the month content that the Greek crisis was now, at least somewhat, averted and the Chinese stock market had finally had its long-dreaded bloodletting. OnAugust 11, however, the Peoples Bank of China...

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Economy

Gold Prices Rebound as U.S.-China Tensions and Russia-Ukraine Conflict Fuel Safe Haven Demand

Gold prices surged in Asian trading Thursday, bouncing back from earlier losses as uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade war and renewed Russia-Ukraine tensions boosted demand for safe haven assets. Spot gold rose 1.3% to...

Thailand’s Exports Surge to 3-Year High Despite U.S. Tariff Risks

Thailands exports jumped 17.8% year-on-year in March, marking the ninth consecutive monthly increase and the highest level in three years, according to the Commerce Ministry. The figure outperformed analysts expectations...

FxWirePro- Major Economic Events for the day

Time Currency Detail Actual Forecast Previous 2:30am AUD RBA...

Malaysia Weighs Growth Forecast Cut as U.S. Tariff Deadline Looms

Malaysia is likely to lower its 2025 GDP growth forecast of 4.5% to 5.5% due to rising trade tensions and looming U.S. tariffs, according to Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour. Speaking at an IMF event in...

Asian Stocks Edge Higher as Japan Gains, Korea Lags on Weak GDP

Asian stocks saw modest gains on Thursday, with Japan leading the region on renewed hopes of U.S. trade dialogue. Investors remained cautious, reassessing optimism over a potential de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade war...

Politics

Japan’s Economy Minister Heads to U.S. for Crucial Tariff Negotiations

Japans Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa is set to travel to Washington from April 30 to May 2 for a second round of high-stakes negotiations with U.S. officials regarding tariffs on Japanese exports, according to media...

Trump Signs Executive Order Tightening College Accreditation and Targeting Foreign Funding

President Donald Trump signed a sweeping executive order on Wednesday aimed at tightening college accreditation standards, a move that could affect access to billions in federal student aid. The order is part of a broader...

Carney, Poilievre Clash in B.C. as Tight Election Nears

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney made a campaign push in British Columbia on Wednesday, targeting support in one of Canadas most competitive regions ahead of Mondays national election. With the Liberals leading in...

Global Vaccine Drive at Risk as US Cuts Aid, Warns UN

Funding cuts, particularly from the United States, are jeopardizing global childhood vaccination efforts at a scale comparable to the COVID-19 pandemics disruption, the United Nations warned. According to a joint statement...

Trump to Hold Michigan Rally Marking First 100 Days in Office

U.S. President Donald Trump will host a rally in Macomb County, Michigan, on Tuesday to celebrate his first 100 days in office, according to a White House announcement. The event marks Trumps return to a key battleground...

Science

Kennedy Sets September Deadline to Uncover Autism Causes Amid Controversy

U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced a bold plan to identify the cause of autism by September 2025. Speaking at a cabinet meeting with President Donald Trump, Kennedy declared a global...

AstraZeneca’s Imfinzi Gets US Approval for Bladder Cancer Treatment

AstraZenecas drug Imfinzi (NASDAQ: AZN) has received U.S. approval to treat adult patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, a significant advancement in cancer therapy. The approval allows Imfinzi to be used in...

Sanofi’s New Hemophilia Drug Qfitlia Gains FDA Approval with Breakthrough Bimonthly Dosing

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved Qfitlia, a groundbreaking hemophilia treatment by French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi (NASDAQ: SNY). Designed for patients aged 12 and older with hemophilia A or B,...

FDA Vaccine Chief Peter Marks Resigns Amid Controversy Over Transparency

Peter Marks, the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations (FDA) top vaccine official, has resigned after reportedly being forced out by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), according to The Wall Street Journal....

Museums have tons of data, and AI could make it more accessible − but standardizing and organizing it across fields won’t be easy

Ice cores in freezers, dinosaurs on display, fish in jars, birds in boxes, human remains and ancient artifacts from long gone civilizations that few people ever see museum collections are filled with all this and more....

Technology

Nintendo Switch 2 Sees Surging Demand with 2.2 Million Lottery Applications in Japan

Nintendo has revealed that over 2.2 million people have entered a lottery for the new Switch 2 console in Japan, signaling overwhelming demand ahead of its June 5 launch. The company admitted it cannot fulfill all orders...

TSMC to Launch Advanced 1.4nm Chips by 2028 to Power AI Growth

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker and a key supplier to Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), announced plans to begin mass production of its next-generation 1.4 nanometer (nm) chip...

SK Hynix Q1 Profit Soars on AI Chip Boom and Tariff Stockpiling

SK Hynix (KRX:000660) more than doubled its quarterly operating profit as demand for AI chips surged and clients stockpiled inventory ahead of potential U.S. tariffs. The worlds second-largest memory chipmaker posted an...

BMW to Integrate Chinese AI from DeepSeek in China-Made Vehicles

German automotive giant BMW (ETR:BMWG) announced it will begin integrating artificial intelligence (AI) developed by Chinese startup DeepSeek into its upcoming vehicle models in China starting later this year. The...

Tesla’s Optimus Robot Faces Delays Amid China’s Rare Earth Export Curbs

Tesla CEO Elon Musk revealed that production of the companys Optimus humanoid robot has been delayed due to Chinas new export restrictions on rare earth magnetscritical components in robotics and electric vehicles....