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Tue, May 07, 2024 06:35 AM All times are UTC

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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

ECB's challenges into December: two BoJ meetings, one US employment report

Oct 22, 2015 21:16 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A combination of an increase in asset purchases and a deposit rate cut is seen as the most likely outcome of the December meeting. And from that perspective, expectations management is likely to be one of the key...

Currency War Series

Currency wars or currency woes?

Sep 25, 2015 18:01 pm UTC| Commentary

On the back of Chinas devaluation of the CNY on August 11, there has been a revival in speculation as to whether the world faces another wave of currency wars. There is still an incentive for some central banks to favour a...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Currency War Series

Emerging market crisis series – Japan a big victim

Sep 14, 2015 12:02 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Emerging market (EM) crisis and falling values of EM currencies have started taking toll on Japan and Bank of Japans (BOJ) monetary policy. Japans borrowing cost was already at historical low, when Bank of Japan (BOJ)...

Currency War Series

Intensified currency war implies stronger effective Euro

Aug 28, 2015 04:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ECBs outlook for higher inflation is threatened by a renewed trend higher in the effective EUR, which, when considering the 3M change, is at the highest rate in more than two years. The upward pressure on the EUR...

Currency War Series

Financial markets force PBoC to ease

Aug 25, 2015 20:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) today cut its leading interest rate by 25bp and the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for commercial banks by 50bp. This was the fifth interest rate cut since November last year. The one-year...

Currency War Series

China stuns markets, but Fed focused on U.S. fundamentals

Aug 16, 2015 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After holding the Renminbi-USD exchange rate relatively steady for the past few years, China announced on Tuesday that it had lowered the midpoint of the daily trading range (fix) of the RMB relative to the USD by 1.9%....

Currency War Series

PBOC not in favor of significant devaluation of CNY

Aug 14, 2015 05:10 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas move to adjust the mechanism for determining the USDCNY fixing sent shockwaves through EM rates and FX markets. The large movements in EM FX markets have fuelled speculation of weaker growth outcomes in China, a...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

NVIDIA & AMD Secure TSMC’s CoWoS Supply Through 2025 Amid AI Boom

In a significant move underscoring the fierce competition in the AI sector, AMD and NVIDIA have reportedly locked in all of TSMCs Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) manufacturing capacity for the next two years. This...

USDh Launches as First Bitcoin-Backed Dollar Offering 25% Yield

In a groundbreaking development in Bitcoin-native decentralized finance (DeFi), Hermetica has announced the launch of USDh, the first synthetic dollar backed by Bitcoin with a promising yield of up to 25%. Set to debut in...

Huawei's Mate 70 Series to Run on Kirin 9100 Chip: AnTuTu Scores Equal Snapdragon 8 Gen 1

Rumors swirl around Huaweis upcoming Mate 70 flagship series, hinting at a groundbreaking inclusion: the Kirin 9100 chipset. Initial performance figures suggest the chip matches Qualcomms Snapdragon 8 Gen 1, setting the...

Kraken's Bold Move: Expanding into Germany with DLT Finance Partnership

Cryptocurrency giant Kraken makes waves with its strategic decision to launch operations in Germany, a pivotal move in its broader European expansion plan. Teaming up with DLT Finance, a regulated financial institution,...

Macron's France Targets Fourfold Increase in EV Sales by 2027; Welcomes BYD Factory Plans

France has announced plans to quadruple EV sales by 2027. The agreement, enhancing Frances position against global competitors, aligns with a state visit from China, spotlighting potential collaborations with major...