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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review post Yellen testimony

Jun 22, 2016 10:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said she would carefully gauge when to raise rates again as the central bank will have to assess that economic growth is on theright track and labour market conditions are improving after...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed provides little forward guidance on timing of a rate hike

Jun 16, 2016 16:59 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As widely expected, the US Federal Reserve left the Fed funds target range unchanged at 0.25 to 0.50, postponing further monetary tightening. This is the fourth straight meeting in which the FOMC has decided against a rate...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Rate hike expectations disappear from 2016

Jun 16, 2016 07:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After a relatively dovish FED yesterday, where participants reduced their forecast for interest rates in 2017 by 30 basis points and 60 basis points for 2018, rates market backed away from pricing a hike this year. FOMC...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review ahead of FOMC

Jun 15, 2016 10:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants just scaled back their expectations of interest rate rise from the Federal Reserve after Mays payroll report showed job gains of just 38,000 and previous two gains revised down by 59,000. Today,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed’s May LMCI slides on poor employment report, likely to further delay the rate hike

Jun 07, 2016 06:03 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Federal Reserves Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) slid in May, following a poor performance from the labor market that too registered a decline in the same month, adding too few jobs into the US economy, slashing...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed’s Yellen seems positive on economic outlook, shrugs labor market concern

Jun 07, 2016 05:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The United States Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, while speaking at an event in Philadelphia, affirmed her conviction of positivity on the overall outlook of the US economy, while warning that investors and other Fed...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

June hike off the table, Fed to seek more evidence before pushing rates higher

Jun 06, 2016 10:58 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Non-farm payrolls report for May released last Friday showed US employment growth slowed sharply to 38k jobs in May which was weak even after adding back the 35k striking Verizon workers. Revisions to previous payroll data...

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Economy

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Politics

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Technology

Nintendo's Next-Gen: Switch 2 Could Hit 240FPS, Leaks Suggest

Leaked by data miner OatmealDome, Nintendos updated NintendoWare Bezel Engine reportedly supports frame rates potentially as high as 240FPS, a massive leap from the current 60FPS limit on the Nintendo Switch. The...

Shiba Inu Dead Cat Bounce: Price Rebound or Bearish Omen?

Investors in the cryptocurrency world are eyeing Shiba Inu (SHIB) with cautious optimism as the meme coin shows signs of a potential dead cat bounce, a dubious reversal often seen in volatile markets. With SHIB struggling...

PEPE Price Surges 7% Amid 4 Trillion Pepe Coin Accumulation by Whale

A monumental 4 trillion Pepe coin accumulation by a crypto whale on May 3 has sparked a significant 7% surge in PEPEs price. This surge, observed amid bullish market sentiments, follows a week of price consolidation,...

Hyundai Motor Scales Up Hydrogen EV Truck Business in the US

Hyundai Motor Company is expanding its hydrogen EV truck operations in the United States to take the lead in this line of business in the region. As part of the initiative, South Korean vehicle manufacturers are offering...

Kakao Enhances AI Focus, Merges Kakao Brain Into Core Operations

South Koreas Kakao Corporation finally decided to absorb Kakao Brains AI unit. The tech and internet giant is taking over its AI research and development (RD) business, which will include all of the departments staff and...