China's structural and cyclical slowdown; reforms remain key to maintain growth

Dec 09, 2015 00:18 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The gradual slowdown over the last four years has been due to the potential growth rate grinding lower and cyclical pressure on the economy. That implies there is room to support potential growth with structural reforms...

China's path of growth slowdown as rebalancing continues

Dec 08, 2015 23:43 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Investment growth is expected to decelerate further in the next two years, but likely at a slower pace than before. Meanwhile, consumption growth will likely stabilize at lower levels, on the back of relatively firm growth...

EMs are facing a challenging global environment today

Dec 08, 2015 23:27 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Post-crisis global growth is still elusive after eight years since the global financial crisis broke out, with developed markets on course for recovery at a moderate pace and many emerging markets struggling to regain...

Migrant Crisis Series

Refugee crisis and German auto industry are the two domestic risks in euro area

Dec 08, 2015 22:43 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The refugee crisis, which may test further the limits of integration, particularly after the recent tragic events in Paris. A potential backlash against external immigration would have detrimental consequences for...

US economy remains on track toward full capacity, despite global headwinds

Dec 08, 2015 22:02 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The US economy remains on track toward full capacity, despite global headwinds. In the first three quarters of this year, trade sliced 0.6% off of growth, mining investment another 0.6%, and inventories 0.2%. That leaves...

US JOLTS data indicate that labor market slack was broadly unchanged in October

Dec 08, 2015 21:32 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Total US job openings declined to 5.383mn in October, from an upwardly revised level of 5.534mn in September. Most of this decline was driven by professional and business services, where openings fell 137k on the month....

Global diversification protects against tumultuous times

Dec 08, 2015 17:46 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

This week proves 2015 remains a shaky time for global investors. Commodities are falling fast as oil dips to below 40 dollars a barrel, the lowest mark since 2009, and iron ore moves towards break-even levels. Chinas...