Oil price is riding higher on Saudi Arabia’s pledge after the review meeting in St. Petersburg Russia and as API reported huge draw in inventories. WTI is currently trading at $48.2 per barrel; and Brent at $2.2 per barrel premium.
Key factors at play in crude oil market –
- Tensions in the Middle East continues with Qatar blockade.
- Saudi Arabia pledged to reduce exports by a million barrels per day.
- Nigeria voluntarily agreed to a production cap of 1.8 million barrels per day.
- Venezuela is suffering a major political crisis, which could see a sharp drop in supplies from Venezuela that is close to 2 million barrels.
- Ecuador became the first country to shy away from the OPEC agreement. Will increase production gradually.
- OPEC production increased by 393,000 barrels per day in June compared to the previous month. In May production increased by 366,000 barrels per day.
- Libyan production reportedly touched 1 million barrels per day.
- June report shows that OPEC still remains in full compliance with the deal as a group but many members are yet to adhere to the agreed levels.
- The US production stands at 9.43 million barrels per day.
- The oil market is back in contango since last week, currently at $0.33 per barrel.
- API reported a draw of 10.23 million barrels of crude oil.
Today’s inventory report from US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released at 14:30 GMT.
Trade Idea –
- Short term oil outlook changed. Buy WTI targeting $56 per barrel.
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