Bearish Divergence Emerges as Gold Soars: Is This the Top?

Bearish divergence (RSI and CCI (50)- Daily and weekly chart

Gold hits an all-time high at $3057 and surged more than 15% this year as geopolitical tension increases demand for safe-haven assets. It is currently trading at around $3035.

Rate Pause Expectations Rise 

According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the chances of a rate pause in the May 19th, 2025 meeting have increased to 85% from 65.20% a week ago.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Strategy

Gold prices are holding above short-term moving averages of 34 EMA and 55 EMA and abovethe  long-term moving averages (200 EMA) in the weekly chart. Immediate support is at $3020 and a break below this level will drag the yellow metal to $2985/$2956/$2920/$2900/$2880. The near-term resistance is at $3080 (trend line joining $2450 and $2790) with potential price targets at $3100.

Indicators -

RSI (14)-   72.49 (oversold)

It  is good to sell on rallies around $3048-50  with a stop-loss at $3080 for a target price of $2835.