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Bitcoin's Tug-of-War: ETFs, Whales, and the Battle for $100K

Bitcoin ETF Flows: A Month of Mixed Signals

 

Bitcoin ETF inflows paint a mixed picture: once more, there was demand for Bitcoin ETFs in mid-April 2025, with ETFs Franklin Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, and ARKB seeing inflows. April has been soaked by huge net outflows of $812.3 million led by IBIT and GBTC. Year-to-date, Bitcoin ETF inflows are still green at $215.2 million, driven by IBIT's $23 billion, while $1.23 billion of outflows did occur from GBTC. Market sentiment is still uncertain despite positive daily flows over the recent period, with Bitcoin's price falling, as investors exercise caution in the face of macroeconomic stress

Whale Watch: Accumulation vs. Strategic Selling

In April 2025, Bitcoin whale activity is contradictory in terms of strategic selling and accumulation since one whale took out 3,704 BTC from exchanges, resulting in a price spike, while another sold 1,200 BTC at a loss [citation:1, citation:2, citation:4]. This contradictory behavior indicates the complex market dynamics, as long-term holders lock up assets for future gains and take losses, impacting the price volatility of Bitcoin. Despite growing interest in Layer-2 solutions and altcoins, Bitcoin remains central to whales' investment strategies

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for BTC/USD

BTC/USD currently trades below both short-term (34-EMA and 55-EMA) and long-term (200-EMA) moving averages on the daily chart. Minor support is around $75800; breaking below this would drag the pair down to $72000/$65000. Immediate resistance is around $87000 any breach above confirms intraday bullishness, a jump to $90000/ $95000/$100000. A secondary barrier at $110,000 indicates that closing above this level could lead to targets at $111,292, $115,000, or even $135,000.

Investment Strategy: Opportunities for Traders

Indicators (4-hour chart).

CCI(500- Bullish

Directional movement index - Neutral

 

It is good to buy on dips around $80000, with a stop-loss set at $72000 for a TP of $110000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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