The Brazilian public sector could in principle pay down the entire external debt and still own three-quarters of the international reserves now sitting on the central bank's balance sheet.
Since it is very unlikely that the government will in fact choose to pay down its external debt, a more relevant metric is coverage of the debt that comes due in the nextyear or two. From now, two years of external public debt amortization would use up less than 5% of a year's exports and 3% of the country's international reserves.
Foreign residents own roughly a fifth of the domestic public debt but, like domestic residents, these claims are payable in BRL. In the hypothetical event that these investors refuse to roll their debt, their only recourse would be to take the BRL payment and get in line behind other participants who are in the currency market to buy USD.
This comes down to a currency problem, not a crisis of international liquidity.
"In short, Brazilian public debt may be a problem, but unlike in some other emerging market economies today or the Brazil of 2002, it is close to inconceivable that the government will be forced by its external payment obligations into a foreign-currency cash crunch that would precipitate a debt restructuring", says Barclays.


Best Gold Stocks to Buy Now: AABB, GOLD, GDX
Australia’s Corporate Regulator Urges Pension Funds to Boost Technology Investment as Industry Grows
Japan Economy Poised for Q4 2025 Growth as Investment and Consumption Hold Firm
Gold Prices Slide Below $5,000 as Strong Dollar and Central Bank Outlook Weigh on Metals
Asian Markets Slip as AI Spending Fears Shake Tech, Wall Street Futures Rebound
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target
U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Tech Rout Deepens on AI Concerns and Earnings
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
Australia’s December Trade Surplus Expands but Falls Short of Expectations
South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 



