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Chinese fund flow as volatile as stock market itself

Chinese stock market is the most volatile in the world, though in recent days daily as well as intra-day volatility has come down a lot.

  • Few days back, 5 day average of realized volatility reached more than 7%, however several measures and government intervention has pushed it lower, which still stands at quite high of 3.1%.

While stock volatility has come down significantly, fund flow volatility has gone up.

  • As per latest data from EPFR, Chinese equities saw fund inflow of $12.7 billion for week ending 8th July, just prior to the stock market giving a 15% rally. However next week saw almost $5.6 billion outflow for the week ending July 15th. This makes it second largest outflow since financial crisis.
  • In last one month, flows in and out of Chinese equity funds have been -2% to +4% of AUM (asset under management) compared to normal range of +1% to -1%.

Though the data doesn't indicate who is buying or who is selling.

However, it seems it is plausible that inflow has been government directed, whereas outflow due to public taking out money due to panic.

  • Market Data
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