Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
Trump Endorses Japan’s Sanae Takaichi Ahead of Crucial Election Amid Market and China Tensions 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient 
The U.S. dollar held onto its sharpest gain in a week on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven buying after an Iranian missile attack on Israel, heightening concerns of a wider conflict in the Middle East.
Euro, Yen, and Safe-Haven Currencies React
In early Asia trade, the euro dipped below $1.10, marking its largest drop in nearly four months. The yen and Swiss franc remained steady at 143.45 per dollar and 0.8463 per dollar, respectively, while the New Zealand dollar nursed a 1.1% overnight fall to $0.6283. Oil prices also spiked 2.5% on the news.
U.S. Dollar Index Surges Amid Tensions and Data
The U.S. dollar index jumped about 0.5% overnight to 101.2, its largest rise since September 25. The increase was partly fueled by a stronger-than-expected U.S. job openings report, adding to safe-haven demand amidst Middle East unrest.
Israeli-Iranian Tensions Drive Market Uncertainty
Israel reported more than 180 ballistic missiles fired by Iran, with Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps claiming the attack was in retaliation for Israeli actions against Hezbollah militants in Lebanon. No injuries were reported, but potential escalation concerns linger as Israel considers further military responses.
Oil prices are expected to fluctuate depending on Israel’s next steps, particularly if it targets Iran's military or oil assets, according to ANZ analysts.
Other Currencies and Market Reactions
The Australian dollar fell to $0.6883, though upbeat retail sales data limited losses. The British pound also saw a 0.7% drop before stabilizing at $1.3278 in early Asian trade.
New Zealand Interest Rate Outlook
A business survey in New Zealand suggested rapidly cooling price pressures, raising the likelihood of a 50-basis point rate cut next week. Westpac and BNZ have revised their forecasts to reflect this expectation, with markets pricing in a 77% probability.
U.S. Domestic Developments
Traders are also monitoring the ongoing dockworkers' strike on the U.S. East and Gulf coasts, which has halted about half of the country's ocean shipping. Additionally, a vice-presidential debate between Democrat Tim Walz and Republican JD Vance is scheduled for later in the day, along with anticipated U.S. private payroll data.
